Si Bone Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| SIBN Stock | USD 16.80 0.12 0.71% |
SIBN Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Si Bone's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Si Bone's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Si Bone fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Si Bone's share price is approaching 42. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Si Bone, making its price go up or down. Momentum 42
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.13) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.53) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.49) | Wall Street Target Price 25.8889 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.17) |
Using Si Bone hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Si Bone from the perspective of Si Bone response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Si Bone using Si Bone's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards SIBN using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Si Bone's stock price.
Si Bone Short Interest
An investor who is long Si Bone may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Si Bone and may potentially protect profits, hedge Si Bone with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 16.9711 | Short Percent 0.0575 | Short Ratio 5.24 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.4 M | 50 Day MA 19.0008 |
SIBN Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Si Bone on the next trading day is expected to be 16.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.62.Si Bone Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Si Bone's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in SIBN. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding SIBN can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Si Bone. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Si Bone's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Si Bone.
Si Bone Implied Volatility | 0.98 |
Si Bone's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Si Bone stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Si Bone's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Si Bone stock will not fluctuate a lot when Si Bone's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Si Bone on the next trading day is expected to be 16.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.62. Si Bone after-hype prediction price | USD 16.84 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Si Bone to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current SIBN contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Si Bone will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0613% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Si Bone trading at USD 16.8, that is roughly USD 0.0103 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Si Bone's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Si Bone options at the current volatility level of 0.98%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 SIBN Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Si Bone's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Si Bone's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Si Bone stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Si Bone's open interest, investors have to compare it to Si Bone's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Si Bone is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in SIBN. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Si Bone Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SIBN price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SIBN using various technical indicators. When you analyze SIBN charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Si Bone Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Si Bone on the next trading day is expected to be 16.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45, mean absolute percentage error of 0.46, and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.62.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SIBN Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Si Bone's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Si Bone Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Si Bone | Si Bone Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Si Bone Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Si Bone's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Si Bone's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.40 and 20.20, respectively. We have considered Si Bone's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Si Bone stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Si Bone stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.6688 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0347 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4513 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0245 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 26.625 |
Predictive Modules for Si Bone
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Si Bone. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Si Bone After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Si Bone at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Si Bone or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Si Bone, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Si Bone Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Si Bone's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Si Bone's historical news coverage. Si Bone's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.44 and 20.24, respectively. We have considered Si Bone's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Si Bone is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Si Bone is based on 3 months time horizon.
Si Bone Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Si Bone is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Si Bone backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Si Bone, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 3.40 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 7 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
16.80 | 16.84 | 0.24 |
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Si Bone Hype Timeline
Si Bone is at this time traded for 16.80. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. SIBN is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 16.84 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.24%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.16%. The volatility of related hype on Si Bone is about 18888.89%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.80. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 167.18 M. Net Loss for the year was (30.91 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 154.12 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Si Bone to cross-verify your projections.Si Bone Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Si Bone's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Si Bone's future price movements. Getting to know how Si Bone's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Si Bone may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OFIX | Orthofix Medical | 0.02 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.30 | (3.62) | 11.43 | |
| PACB | Pacific Biosciences of | (0.11) | 10 per month | 4.53 | 0.08 | 10.80 | (7.29) | 31.33 | |
| CLPT | Clearpoint Neuro | (0.42) | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 7.36 | (8.57) | 24.14 | |
| BFLY | Butterfly Network | 0.02 | 9 per month | 4.74 | 0.15 | 14.22 | (9.14) | 42.22 | |
| INNV | InnovAge Holding Corp | (0.04) | 4 per month | 5.07 | 0.04 | 7.78 | (7.68) | 32.32 | |
| AIRS | Airsculpt Technologies | (0.17) | 14 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 9.30 | (13.38) | 50.82 | |
| AVNS | Avanos Medical | 0.63 | 8 per month | 1.74 | 0.05 | 4.68 | (3.06) | 9.85 | |
| AVXL | Anavex Life Sciences | (0.03) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 8.16 | (10.97) | 41.40 | |
| AQST | Aquestive Therapeutics | (0.13) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 5.14 | (7.62) | 45.05 | |
| VREX | Varex Imaging Corp | 0.05 | 12 per month | 3.12 | 0.08 | 4.43 | (3.53) | 18.19 |
Other Forecasting Options for Si Bone
For every potential investor in SIBN, whether a beginner or expert, Si Bone's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SIBN Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SIBN. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Si Bone's price trends.Si Bone Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Si Bone stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Si Bone could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Si Bone by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Si Bone Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Si Bone stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Si Bone shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Si Bone stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Si Bone entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Si Bone Risk Indicators
The analysis of Si Bone's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Si Bone's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sibn stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.95 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.63 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.28 | |||
| Variance | 10.75 | |||
| Downside Variance | 9.06 | |||
| Semi Variance | 6.89 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.14) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Si Bone
The number of cover stories for Si Bone depends on current market conditions and Si Bone's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Si Bone is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Si Bone's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Si Bone Short Properties
Si Bone's future price predictability will typically decrease when Si Bone's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Si Bone often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Si Bone's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Si Bone's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 41.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 150 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Si Bone to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in SIBN Stock, please use our How to Invest in Si Bone guide.You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Si Bone. If investors know SIBN will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Si Bone listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.51) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.206 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Si Bone is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SIBN that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Si Bone's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Si Bone's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Si Bone's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Si Bone's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Si Bone's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Si Bone is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Si Bone's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.