Shanghai Electric Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

SIELF Stock  USD 0.62  0.12  24.00%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Shanghai Electric Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.25. Shanghai Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Shanghai Electric's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026 The relative strength index (RSI) of Shanghai Electric's share price is above 80 . This usually implies that the pink sheet is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 100

 Buy Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Shanghai Electric's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Shanghai Electric and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Shanghai Electric's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Shanghai Electric Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Shanghai Electric hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Shanghai Electric Group from the perspective of Shanghai Electric response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Shanghai Electric Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.25.

Shanghai Electric after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.62  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Shanghai Electric to cross-verify your projections.

Shanghai Electric Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Shanghai price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Shanghai using various technical indicators. When you analyze Shanghai charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Shanghai Electric simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Shanghai Electric Group are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Shanghai Electric prices get older.

Shanghai Electric Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Shanghai Electric Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0005, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.25.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Shanghai Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Shanghai Electric's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Shanghai Electric Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Shanghai Electric Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Shanghai Electric's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Shanghai Electric's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 5.94, respectively. We have considered Shanghai Electric's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.62
0.62
Expected Value
5.94
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Shanghai Electric pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Shanghai Electric pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.7141
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0042
MADMean absolute deviation0.0042
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0076
SAESum of the absolute errors0.25
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Shanghai Electric Group forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Shanghai Electric observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Shanghai Electric

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shanghai Electric. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.625.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.475.75
Details

Shanghai Electric After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Shanghai Electric at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Shanghai Electric or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Shanghai Electric, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Shanghai Electric Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Shanghai Electric's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Shanghai Electric's historical news coverage. Shanghai Electric's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 5.90, respectively. We have considered Shanghai Electric's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.62
0.62
After-hype Price
5.90
Upside
Shanghai Electric is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Shanghai Electric is based on 3 months time horizon.

Shanghai Electric Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Shanghai Electric is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Shanghai Electric backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Shanghai Electric, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.94 
5.32
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.62
0.62
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Shanghai Electric Hype Timeline

Shanghai Electric is at this time traded for 0.62. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Shanghai is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.94%. %. The volatility of related hype on Shanghai Electric is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.62. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.51. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Shanghai Electric last dividend was issued on the 21st of June 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next expected press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Shanghai Electric to cross-verify your projections.

Shanghai Electric Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Shanghai Electric's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Shanghai Electric's future price movements. Getting to know how Shanghai Electric's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Shanghai Electric may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
WEICYWeichai Power 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
GCTAFSiemens Gamesa Renewable 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
GCTAYSiemens Gamesa Renewable 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
MYTHFMytilineos SA 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.11  0.00  0.00  0.00 
GPOVYGrupo Carso SAB 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
REECFReece Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
OUKPFMetso Outotec Oyj 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.34) 0.00  0.00  1.83 
ATSAFATS Automation Tooling 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
SHKLFSinotruk 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.10  0.00  0.00  39.09 
KUKAFKUKA Aktiengesellschaft 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Shanghai Electric

For every potential investor in Shanghai, whether a beginner or expert, Shanghai Electric's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Shanghai Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Shanghai. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Shanghai Electric's price trends.

Shanghai Electric Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Shanghai Electric pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Shanghai Electric could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Shanghai Electric by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Shanghai Electric Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Shanghai Electric pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Shanghai Electric shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Shanghai Electric pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Shanghai Electric Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Shanghai Electric Risk Indicators

The analysis of Shanghai Electric's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Shanghai Electric's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting shanghai pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Shanghai Electric

The number of cover stories for Shanghai Electric depends on current market conditions and Shanghai Electric's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Shanghai Electric is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Shanghai Electric's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Shanghai Pink Sheet

Shanghai Electric financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shanghai Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shanghai with respect to the benefits of owning Shanghai Electric security.