SIG Combibloc Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| SIGN Stock | CHF 12.49 0.25 1.96% |
SIG Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of SIG Combibloc's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.082 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.5973 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.6129 | Wall Street Target Price 12.513 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.003 |
Using SIG Combibloc hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SIG Combibloc Group from the perspective of SIG Combibloc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SIG Combibloc Group on the next trading day is expected to be 12.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.66. SIG Combibloc after-hype prediction price | CHF 12.49 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
SIG |
SIG Combibloc Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SIG price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SIG using various technical indicators. When you analyze SIG charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
SIG Combibloc Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 14th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SIG Combibloc Group on the next trading day is expected to be 12.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.66.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SIG Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SIG Combibloc's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
SIG Combibloc Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest SIG Combibloc | SIG Combibloc Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
SIG Combibloc Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting SIG Combibloc's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SIG Combibloc's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.59 and 14.49, respectively. We have considered SIG Combibloc's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SIG Combibloc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SIG Combibloc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0286 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1777 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0168 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 10.663 |
Predictive Modules for SIG Combibloc
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SIG Combibloc Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.SIG Combibloc After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of SIG Combibloc at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SIG Combibloc or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SIG Combibloc, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
SIG Combibloc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting SIG Combibloc's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SIG Combibloc's historical news coverage. SIG Combibloc's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.54 and 14.44, respectively. We have considered SIG Combibloc's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
SIG Combibloc is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SIG Combibloc Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
SIG Combibloc Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SIG Combibloc is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SIG Combibloc backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SIG Combibloc, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.61 | 1.95 | 0.00 | 0.38 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
12.49 | 12.49 | 0.00 |
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SIG Combibloc Hype Timeline
SIG Combibloc Group is at this time traded for 12.49on SIX Swiss Exchange of Switzerland. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.38. SIG is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.61%. %. The volatility of related hype on SIG Combibloc is about 310.07%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.11. About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.86. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. SIG Combibloc Group has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 109.43. The entity last dividend was issued on the 29th of April 2025. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SIG Combibloc to cross-verify your projections.SIG Combibloc Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to SIG Combibloc's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SIG Combibloc's future price movements. Getting to know how SIG Combibloc's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SIG Combibloc may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VETN | Vetropack Holding SA | (0.20) | 1 per month | 1.87 | 0.12 | 3.37 | (2.90) | 11.06 | |
| AUTN | Autoneum Holding AG | (6.60) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.44 | (5.30) | 9.69 | |
| VZUG | V Zug Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.77 | (1.84) | 7.36 | |
| TIBN | Bergbahnen Engelberg Truebsee | 0.60 | 2 per month | 1.29 | 0.18 | 3.20 | (2.30) | 7.94 | |
| LMN | Lastminute NV | (0.05) | 5 per month | 1.68 | 0.09 | 3.55 | (2.44) | 11.45 | |
| MOZN | mobilezone ag | 0.10 | 3 per month | 1.06 | 0.20 | 2.41 | (1.82) | 8.13 | |
| AVOL | Avolta AG | 0.12 | 9 per month | 1.18 | 0.1 | 2.43 | (2.06) | 8.79 | |
| CALN | Calida Holding AG | 0.34 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.30 | (3.04) | 8.04 | |
| ASWN | Asmallworld AG | 0.03 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 7.35 | (7.69) | 25.45 |
Other Forecasting Options for SIG Combibloc
For every potential investor in SIG, whether a beginner or expert, SIG Combibloc's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SIG Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SIG. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SIG Combibloc's price trends.SIG Combibloc Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SIG Combibloc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SIG Combibloc could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SIG Combibloc by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
SIG Combibloc Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SIG Combibloc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SIG Combibloc shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SIG Combibloc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify SIG Combibloc Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 30166.27 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.61) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 12.7 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 12.63 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.33) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.25) |
SIG Combibloc Risk Indicators
The analysis of SIG Combibloc's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SIG Combibloc's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sig stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.66 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.33 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.24 | |||
| Variance | 5.02 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.89 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.78 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.89) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for SIG Combibloc
The number of cover stories for SIG Combibloc depends on current market conditions and SIG Combibloc's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SIG Combibloc is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SIG Combibloc's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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SIG Combibloc Short Properties
SIG Combibloc's future price predictability will typically decrease when SIG Combibloc's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SIG Combibloc Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SIG Combibloc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SIG Combibloc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 382.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 287.8 M |
Additional Tools for SIG Stock Analysis
When running SIG Combibloc's price analysis, check to measure SIG Combibloc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SIG Combibloc is operating at the current time. Most of SIG Combibloc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SIG Combibloc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SIG Combibloc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SIG Combibloc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.