Sligro Food Pink Sheet Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

SIGRF Stock   12.00  0.00  0.00%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sligro Food Group on the next trading day is expected to be 12.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.29. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast Sligro Food's stock prices and determine the direction of Sligro Food Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Sligro Food's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Sligro Food works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Sligro Food Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sligro Food Group on the next trading day is expected to be 12.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.29.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sligro Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sligro Food's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sligro Food Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Sligro Food Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Sligro Food's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sligro Food's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.42 and 13.58, respectively. We have considered Sligro Food's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
12.00
12.00
Expected Value
13.58
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sligro Food pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sligro Food pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0175
MADMean absolute deviation0.0388
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0031
SAESum of the absolute errors2.29
When Sligro Food Group prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Sligro Food Group trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Sligro Food observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Sligro Food

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sligro Food Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Other Forecasting Options for Sligro Food

For every potential investor in Sligro, whether a beginner or expert, Sligro Food's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sligro Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sligro. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sligro Food's price trends.

Sligro Food Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sligro Food pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sligro Food could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sligro Food by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sligro Food Group Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Sligro Food's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Sligro Food's current price.

Sligro Food Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sligro Food pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sligro Food shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sligro Food pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Sligro Food Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sligro Food Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sligro Food's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sligro Food's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sligro pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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