Shenzhen Investment Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

SIHBY Stock  USD 2.62  0.01  0.38%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Shenzhen Investment Bay on the next trading day is expected to be 2.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.47. Shenzhen Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Shenzhen Investment simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Shenzhen Investment Bay are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Shenzhen Investment Bay prices get older.

Shenzhen Investment Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Shenzhen Investment Bay on the next trading day is expected to be 2.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.47.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Shenzhen Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Shenzhen Investment's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Shenzhen Investment Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Shenzhen Investment Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Shenzhen Investment's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Shenzhen Investment's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 12.79, respectively. We have considered Shenzhen Investment's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.62
2.62
Expected Value
12.79
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Shenzhen Investment pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Shenzhen Investment pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.2247
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0186
MADMean absolute deviation0.0912
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0394
SAESum of the absolute errors5.473
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Shenzhen Investment Bay forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Shenzhen Investment observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Shenzhen Investment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shenzhen Investment Bay. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.132.6212.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.112.1312.30
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Shenzhen Investment. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Shenzhen Investment's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Shenzhen Investment's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Shenzhen Investment Bay.

Other Forecasting Options for Shenzhen Investment

For every potential investor in Shenzhen, whether a beginner or expert, Shenzhen Investment's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Shenzhen Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Shenzhen. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Shenzhen Investment's price trends.

Shenzhen Investment Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Shenzhen Investment pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Shenzhen Investment could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Shenzhen Investment by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Shenzhen Investment Bay Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Shenzhen Investment's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Shenzhen Investment's current price.

Shenzhen Investment Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Shenzhen Investment pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Shenzhen Investment shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Shenzhen Investment pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Shenzhen Investment Bay entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Shenzhen Investment Risk Indicators

The analysis of Shenzhen Investment's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Shenzhen Investment's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting shenzhen pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Shenzhen Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Shenzhen Investment's price analysis, check to measure Shenzhen Investment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Shenzhen Investment is operating at the current time. Most of Shenzhen Investment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Shenzhen Investment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Shenzhen Investment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Shenzhen Investment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.