Amplify Junior Etf Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| SILJ Etf | USD 31.67 7.35 18.84% |
Amplify Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now, The relative strength momentum indicator of Amplify Junior's share price is at 53. This usually implies that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Amplify Junior, making its price go up or down. Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Amplify Junior hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Amplify Junior Silver from the perspective of Amplify Junior response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Amplify Junior using Amplify Junior's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Amplify using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Amplify Junior's stock price.
Amplify Junior Implied Volatility | 0.9 |
Amplify Junior's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Amplify Junior Silver stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Amplify Junior's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Amplify Junior stock will not fluctuate a lot when Amplify Junior's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Amplify Junior Silver on the next trading day is expected to be 31.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.96 and the sum of the absolute errors of 56.47.
Amplify Junior after-hype prediction price | USD 39.08 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amplify Junior to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Amplify contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Amplify Junior Silver will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0563% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Amplify Junior trading at USD 31.67, that is roughly USD 0.0178 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Amplify Junior's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Amplify Junior Silver options at the current volatility level of 0.9%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Amplify Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Amplify Junior's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Amplify Junior's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Amplify Junior stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Amplify Junior's open interest, investors have to compare it to Amplify Junior's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Amplify Junior is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Amplify. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Amplify Junior Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Amplify price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Amplify using various technical indicators. When you analyze Amplify charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Amplify Junior Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Amplify Junior Silver on the next trading day is expected to be 31.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.96, mean absolute percentage error of 2.12, and the sum of the absolute errors of 56.47.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Amplify Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Amplify Junior's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Amplify Junior Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Amplify Junior | Amplify Junior Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Amplify Junior Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Amplify Junior's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Amplify Junior's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 28.64 and 34.70, respectively. We have considered Amplify Junior's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Amplify Junior etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Amplify Junior etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.1864 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.2754 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.9571 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0338 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 56.47 |
Predictive Modules for Amplify Junior
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amplify Junior Silver. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Amplify Junior After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Amplify Junior at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Amplify Junior or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Amplify Junior, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Amplify Junior Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Amplify Junior's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Amplify Junior's historical news coverage. Amplify Junior's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 36.05 and 42.11, respectively. We have considered Amplify Junior's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Amplify Junior is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Amplify Junior Silver is based on 3 months time horizon.
Amplify Junior Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Amplify Junior is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Amplify Junior backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Amplify Junior, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.03 | 3.03 | 0.90 | 0.21 | 8 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
31.67 | 39.08 | 0.15 |
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Amplify Junior Hype Timeline
Amplify Junior Silver is at this time traded for 31.67. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.9, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.21. Amplify is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 39.08 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price surge on the next news is projected to be 0.15%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 1.03%. The volatility of related hype on Amplify Junior is about 1507.46%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 31.88. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amplify Junior to cross-verify your projections.Amplify Junior Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Amplify Junior's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Amplify Junior's future price movements. Getting to know how Amplify Junior's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Amplify Junior may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IHDG | WisdomTree International Hedged | 0.31 | 2 per month | 0.66 | 0.05 | 1.21 | (1.16) | 4.21 | |
| HACK | Amplify Cybersecurity ETF | 0.33 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 1.75 | (2.47) | 4.32 | |
| PABU | iShares Paris Aligned Climate | 0.26 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 1.04 | (1.37) | 4.45 | |
| SECT | Main Sector Rotation | 0.26 | 4 per month | 0.82 | (0.04) | 1.28 | (1.57) | 3.61 | |
| SNPE | Xtrackers SP 500 | 0.47 | 3 per month | 0.64 | 0.01 | 1.21 | (1.02) | 3.72 | |
| BDYN | iShares Dynamic Equity | 0.01 | 1 per month | 0.66 | 0.04 | 1.10 | (1.34) | 3.61 | |
| SPYX | SPDR SP 500 | 0.18 | 4 per month | 0.81 | (0.03) | 1.10 | (1.24) | 3.65 | |
| FLIN | Franklin FTSE India | (0.04) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 0.79 | (1.16) | 3.99 | |
| GUSA | Goldman Sachs MarketBeta | (0.14) | 2 per month | 0.81 | (0.03) | 1.17 | (1.23) | 3.77 | |
| DCOR | Dimensional ETF Trust | 0.37 | 3 per month | 0.68 | 0.01 | 1.27 | (1.27) | 3.23 |
Other Forecasting Options for Amplify Junior
For every potential investor in Amplify, whether a beginner or expert, Amplify Junior's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Amplify Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Amplify. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Amplify Junior's price trends.Amplify Junior Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Amplify Junior etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Amplify Junior could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Amplify Junior by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Amplify Junior Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Amplify Junior etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Amplify Junior shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Amplify Junior etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Amplify Junior Silver entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Amplify Junior Risk Indicators
The analysis of Amplify Junior's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Amplify Junior's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting amplify etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.36 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.84 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.0 | |||
| Variance | 8.99 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.58 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.38 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.95) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Amplify Junior
The number of cover stories for Amplify Junior depends on current market conditions and Amplify Junior's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Amplify Junior is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Amplify Junior's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amplify Junior to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.
The market value of Amplify Junior Silver is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Amplify that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Amplify Junior's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Amplify Junior's true underlying value. Investment professionals apply varied valuation frameworks to compute inherent worth and acquire positions when market prices trade at discounts to calculated value. Because Amplify Junior's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Amplify Junior's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Amplify Junior's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Amplify Junior is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Amplify Junior's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.