SIS Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

SIS Stock   378.90  0.55  0.15%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of SIS LIMITED on the next trading day is expected to be 373.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.77 and the sum of the absolute errors of 296.04. SIS Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast SIS stock prices and determine the direction of SIS LIMITED's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of SIS's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, SIS's Retained Earnings are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Cash And Short Term Investments is expected to grow to about 7.1 B, whereas Short and Long Term Debt Total is forecasted to decline to about 10.3 B.
A naive forecasting model for SIS is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of SIS LIMITED value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

SIS Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of SIS LIMITED on the next trading day is expected to be 373.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.77, mean absolute percentage error of 36.36, and the sum of the absolute errors of 296.04.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SIS Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SIS's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

SIS Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest SISSIS Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

SIS Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting SIS's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SIS's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 371.88 and 374.68, respectively. We have considered SIS's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
378.90
371.88
Downside
373.28
Expected Value
374.68
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SIS stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SIS stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria123.5417
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation4.7748
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.012
SAESum of the absolute errors296.0399
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of SIS LIMITED. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict SIS. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for SIS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SIS LIMITED. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
376.56377.95379.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
323.57324.96416.79
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
5.005.355.83
Details

Other Forecasting Options for SIS

For every potential investor in SIS, whether a beginner or expert, SIS's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SIS Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SIS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SIS's price trends.

SIS Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SIS stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SIS could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SIS by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

SIS LIMITED Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of SIS's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of SIS's current price.

SIS Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SIS stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SIS shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SIS stock market strength indicators, traders can identify SIS LIMITED entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

SIS Risk Indicators

The analysis of SIS's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SIS's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sis stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in SIS Stock

SIS financial ratios help investors to determine whether SIS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SIS with respect to the benefits of owning SIS security.