Sivers IMA Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

SIVE Stock  SEK 3.09  0.07  2.22%   
Sivers Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the value of RSI of Sivers IMA's share price is approaching 33. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Sivers IMA, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 33

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Sivers IMA's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Sivers IMA Holding, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Sivers IMA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sivers IMA Holding from the perspective of Sivers IMA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sivers IMA Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 3.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.36.

Sivers IMA after-hype prediction price

    
  SEK 3.09  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sivers IMA to cross-verify your projections.

Sivers IMA Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Sivers price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sivers using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sivers charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Sivers IMA simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Sivers IMA Holding are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Sivers IMA Holding prices get older.

Sivers IMA Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sivers IMA Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 3.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.36.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sivers Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sivers IMA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sivers IMA Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Sivers IMA  Sivers IMA Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Sivers IMA Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Sivers IMA's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sivers IMA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 6.65, respectively. We have considered Sivers IMA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.09
3.09
Expected Value
6.65
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sivers IMA stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sivers IMA stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.1301
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0081
MADMean absolute deviation0.1042
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0283
SAESum of the absolute errors6.3559
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Sivers IMA Holding forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Sivers IMA observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Sivers IMA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sivers IMA Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.153.096.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.142.826.37
Details

Sivers IMA After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Sivers IMA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sivers IMA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sivers IMA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Sivers IMA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Sivers IMA's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sivers IMA's historical news coverage. Sivers IMA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.15 and 6.64, respectively. We have considered Sivers IMA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
3.09
3.09
After-hype Price
6.64
Upside
Sivers IMA is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sivers IMA Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.

Sivers IMA Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sivers IMA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sivers IMA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sivers IMA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.42 
3.55
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
3.09
3.09
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Sivers IMA Hype Timeline

Sivers IMA Holding is at this time traded for 3.09on Stockholm Exchange of Sweden. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Sivers is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.42%. %. The volatility of related hype on Sivers IMA is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.09. About 31.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.17. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Sivers IMA Holding recorded a loss per share of 0.74. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sivers IMA to cross-verify your projections.

Sivers IMA Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Sivers IMA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sivers IMA's future price movements. Getting to know how Sivers IMA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sivers IMA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Sivers IMA

For every potential investor in Sivers, whether a beginner or expert, Sivers IMA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sivers Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sivers. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sivers IMA's price trends.

Sivers IMA Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sivers IMA stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sivers IMA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sivers IMA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sivers IMA Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sivers IMA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sivers IMA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sivers IMA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sivers IMA Holding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sivers IMA Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sivers IMA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sivers IMA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sivers stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Sivers IMA

The number of cover stories for Sivers IMA depends on current market conditions and Sivers IMA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sivers IMA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sivers IMA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Sivers IMA Short Properties

Sivers IMA's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sivers IMA's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sivers IMA Holding often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sivers IMA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sivers IMA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding142.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments456.2 M

Additional Tools for Sivers Stock Analysis

When running Sivers IMA's price analysis, check to measure Sivers IMA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sivers IMA is operating at the current time. Most of Sivers IMA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sivers IMA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sivers IMA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sivers IMA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.