Sprintex Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

SIX Stock   0.09  0  3.19%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sprintex on the next trading day is expected to be 0.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.11. Sprintex Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Sprintex's share price is above 70 at this time. This usually implies that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Sprintex, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 76

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Sprintex's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Sprintex, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Sprintex hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sprintex from the perspective of Sprintex response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sprintex on the next trading day is expected to be 0.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.11.

Sprintex after-hype prediction price

    
  AUD 0.09  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sprintex to cross-verify your projections.

Sprintex Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Sprintex price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sprintex using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sprintex charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Sprintex is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Sprintex value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Sprintex Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sprintex on the next trading day is expected to be 0.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000864, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.11.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sprintex Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sprintex's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sprintex Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest SprintexSprintex Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Sprintex Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Sprintex's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sprintex's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0009 and 6.85, respectively. We have considered Sprintex's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.09
0.0009
Downside
0.11
Expected Value
6.85
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sprintex stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sprintex stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria106.4519
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0017
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0275
SAESum of the absolute errors0.105
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Sprintex. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Sprintex. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Sprintex

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sprintex. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.096.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.076.81
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Sprintex

For every potential investor in Sprintex, whether a beginner or expert, Sprintex's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sprintex Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sprintex. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sprintex's price trends.

Sprintex Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sprintex stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sprintex could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sprintex by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sprintex Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Sprintex's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Sprintex's current price.

Sprintex Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sprintex stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sprintex shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sprintex stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sprintex entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sprintex Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sprintex's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sprintex's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sprintex stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
Explore Investing Ideas  

Additional Tools for Sprintex Stock Analysis

When running Sprintex's price analysis, check to measure Sprintex's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sprintex is operating at the current time. Most of Sprintex's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sprintex's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sprintex's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sprintex to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.