Scienjoy Holding Stock Forward View
| SJ Stock | USD 1.45 0.15 11.54% |
Scienjoy Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Scienjoy Holding's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Scienjoy Holding's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Scienjoy Holding fundamentals over time.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Scienjoy Holding's share price is above 70 as of now. This usually implies that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Scienjoy, making its price go up or down. Momentum 71
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.36) | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.142 | Wall Street Target Price 4.0454 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) |
Using Scienjoy Holding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Scienjoy Holding Corp from the perspective of Scienjoy Holding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Scienjoy Holding Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 1.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.57. Scienjoy Holding after-hype prediction price | USD 1.3 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Scienjoy Holding to cross-verify your projections. Scienjoy Holding Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Scienjoy price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Scienjoy using various technical indicators. When you analyze Scienjoy charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Scienjoy Holding Cash Forecast
To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the Scienjoy Holding's financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
Cash | First Reported 2018-09-30 | Previous Quarter 298.5 M | Current Value 254.1 M | Quarterly Volatility 87.5 M |
Scienjoy Holding Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Scienjoy Holding Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 1.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.57.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Scienjoy Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Scienjoy Holding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Scienjoy Holding Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Scienjoy Holding | Scienjoy Holding Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Scienjoy Holding Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Scienjoy Holding's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Scienjoy Holding's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 9.75, respectively. We have considered Scienjoy Holding's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Scienjoy Holding stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Scienjoy Holding stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.8756 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0585 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0828 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.5671 |
Predictive Modules for Scienjoy Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Scienjoy Holding Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Scienjoy Holding After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Scienjoy Holding at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Scienjoy Holding or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Scienjoy Holding, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Scienjoy Holding Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Scienjoy Holding's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Scienjoy Holding's historical news coverage. Scienjoy Holding's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.07 and 9.50, respectively. We have considered Scienjoy Holding's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Scienjoy Holding is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Scienjoy Holding Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Scienjoy Holding Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Scienjoy Holding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Scienjoy Holding backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Scienjoy Holding, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.88 | 8.20 | 0.06 | 0.01 | 11 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.45 | 1.30 | 0.00 |
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Scienjoy Holding Hype Timeline
As of January 30, 2026 Scienjoy Holding Corp is listed for 1.45. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Scienjoy is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 1.88%. %. The volatility of related hype on Scienjoy Holding is about 113538.46%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.46. About 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.33. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Scienjoy Holding Corp had not issued any dividends in recent years. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Scienjoy Holding to cross-verify your projections.Scienjoy Holding Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Scienjoy Holding's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Scienjoy Holding's future price movements. Getting to know how Scienjoy Holding's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Scienjoy Holding may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RSVR | Reservoir Media | (0.02) | 2 per month | 1.43 | (0.04) | 2.18 | (2.54) | 7.75 | |
| HAO | Haoxi Health Technology | (0.07) | 9 per month | 3.42 | 0.05 | 9.30 | (5.83) | 33.36 | |
| HHS | Harte Hanks | (0.12) | 16 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.37 | (6.33) | 24.90 | |
| DLPN | Dolphin Entertainment | 0.09 | 10 per month | 3.13 | 0.02 | 6.12 | (5.71) | 16.91 | |
| AGAE | Allied Gaming Entertainment | 0.03 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 8.82 | (7.89) | 22.00 | |
| ANGH | Anghami De | (0.02) | 3 per month | 4.74 | 0.02 | 5.78 | (10.26) | 75.83 | |
| VSME | VS Media Holdings | (0) | 8 per month | 10.73 | 0.11 | 17.50 | (20.00) | 1,780 | |
| UONE | Urban One | 0.20 | 8 per month | 4.07 | 0.06 | 10.26 | (5.65) | 25.79 | |
| XHLD | TEN Holdings Common | (0.02) | 4 per month | 9.55 | 0.05 | 22.57 | (16.93) | 204.72 |
Other Forecasting Options for Scienjoy Holding
For every potential investor in Scienjoy, whether a beginner or expert, Scienjoy Holding's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Scienjoy Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Scienjoy. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Scienjoy Holding's price trends.Scienjoy Holding Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Scienjoy Holding stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Scienjoy Holding could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Scienjoy Holding by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Scienjoy Holding Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Scienjoy Holding stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Scienjoy Holding shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Scienjoy Holding stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Scienjoy Holding Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Scienjoy Holding Risk Indicators
The analysis of Scienjoy Holding's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Scienjoy Holding's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting scienjoy stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.67 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.97 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.96 | |||
| Variance | 63.32 | |||
| Downside Variance | 25.44 | |||
| Semi Variance | 15.76 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (8.86) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Scienjoy Holding
The number of cover stories for Scienjoy Holding depends on current market conditions and Scienjoy Holding's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Scienjoy Holding is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Scienjoy Holding's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Scienjoy Holding Short Properties
Scienjoy Holding's future price predictability will typically decrease when Scienjoy Holding's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Scienjoy Holding Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Scienjoy Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Scienjoy Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 41.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 290.1 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Scienjoy Holding to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
What growth prospects exist in Movies & Entertainment sector? Can Scienjoy capture new markets? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Scienjoy Holding. If investors know Scienjoy will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Valuation analysis balances hard financial data with qualitative growth assessments. While each Scienjoy Holding valuation metric matters, prioritizing which indicators carry greater predictive weight remains essential.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.36) | Earnings Share 0.04 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) | Return On Assets |
Understanding Scienjoy Holding Corp requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Scienjoy's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Scienjoy Holding's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investment professionals apply varied valuation frameworks to compute inherent worth and acquire positions when market prices trade at discounts to calculated value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Scienjoy Holding's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Scienjoy Holding's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Scienjoy Holding is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Scienjoy Holding's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.