SanJac Alpha Etf Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| SJLD Etf | 25.38 0.01 0.04% |
SanJac Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast SanJac Alpha stock prices and determine the direction of SanJac Alpha Low's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of SanJac Alpha's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength momentum indicator of SanJac Alpha's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the etf is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using SanJac Alpha hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SanJac Alpha Low from the perspective of SanJac Alpha response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of SanJac Alpha Low on the next trading day is expected to be 25.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.74. SanJac Alpha after-hype prediction price | USD 25.37 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SanJac Alpha to cross-verify your projections. SanJac Alpha Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SanJac price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SanJac using various technical indicators. When you analyze SanJac charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
SanJac Alpha Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of SanJac Alpha Low on the next trading day is expected to be 25.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0004, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.74.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SanJac Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SanJac Alpha's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
SanJac Alpha Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest SanJac Alpha | SanJac Alpha Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
SanJac Alpha Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting SanJac Alpha's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SanJac Alpha's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.29 and 25.46, respectively. We have considered SanJac Alpha's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SanJac Alpha etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SanJac Alpha etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 106.7095 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0029 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0125 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 5.0E-4 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.74 |
Predictive Modules for SanJac Alpha
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SanJac Alpha Low. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.SanJac Alpha After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of SanJac Alpha at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SanJac Alpha or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of SanJac Alpha, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
SanJac Alpha Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting SanJac Alpha's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SanJac Alpha's historical news coverage. SanJac Alpha's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.29 and 25.45, respectively. We have considered SanJac Alpha's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
SanJac Alpha is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SanJac Alpha Low is based on 3 months time horizon.
SanJac Alpha Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as SanJac Alpha is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SanJac Alpha backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SanJac Alpha, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
25.38 | 25.37 | 0.00 |
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SanJac Alpha Hype Timeline
SanJac Alpha Low is at this time traded for 25.38. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. SanJac is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on SanJac Alpha is about 88.89%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.38. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SanJac Alpha to cross-verify your projections.SanJac Alpha Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to SanJac Alpha's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SanJac Alpha's future price movements. Getting to know how SanJac Alpha's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SanJac Alpha may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TRIL | Defiance Trillion Dollar | 0.08 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 1.23 | (2.14) | 7.84 | |
| BENJ | Horizon Funds | 0.03 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (2.78) | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.10 | |
| IRVH | Global X Interest | 0.05 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 0.39 | (0.39) | 1.33 | |
| SUPL | ProShares Supply Chain | (0.09) | 6 per month | 0.53 | 0.16 | 2.31 | (1.25) | 4.72 | |
| NDAA | Ned Davis Research | 0.01 | 8 per month | 0.56 | (0.02) | 0.89 | (1.14) | 2.78 | |
| FTKI | First Trust Exchange Traded | (0.03) | 2 per month | 0.41 | 0.12 | 1.14 | (0.75) | 3.15 | |
| HFEQ | Unlimited HFEQ Equity | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.44 | 0.02 | 2.20 | (2.44) | 6.26 | |
| RXD | ProShares UltraShort Health | (0.08) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.68 | (4.07) | 7.03 | |
| SJCP | SanJac Alpha Core | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.58) | 0.16 | (0.12) | 0.44 | |
| BOEG | Leverage Shares 2X | 0.93 | 1 per month | 2.53 | 0.11 | 5.94 | (5.59) | 26.46 |
Other Forecasting Options for SanJac Alpha
For every potential investor in SanJac, whether a beginner or expert, SanJac Alpha's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SanJac Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SanJac. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SanJac Alpha's price trends.SanJac Alpha Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SanJac Alpha etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SanJac Alpha could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SanJac Alpha by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
SanJac Alpha Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SanJac Alpha etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SanJac Alpha shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SanJac Alpha etf market strength indicators, traders can identify SanJac Alpha Low entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
SanJac Alpha Risk Indicators
The analysis of SanJac Alpha's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SanJac Alpha's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sanjac etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.0592 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.0962 | |||
| Variance | 0.0093 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.0119 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0.01) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.10) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for SanJac Alpha
The number of cover stories for SanJac Alpha depends on current market conditions and SanJac Alpha's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SanJac Alpha is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SanJac Alpha's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SanJac Alpha to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.
The market value of SanJac Alpha Low is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SanJac that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SanJac Alpha's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SanJac Alpha's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because SanJac Alpha's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SanJac Alpha's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SanJac Alpha's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SanJac Alpha is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, SanJac Alpha's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.