SJW Old Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

SJW Old Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine SJW price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SJW using various technical indicators. When you analyze SJW charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for SJW Old is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of SJW Old value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

SJW Old Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of SJW Old on the next trading day is expected to be 54.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.89, mean absolute percentage error of 1.17, and the sum of the absolute errors of 54.54.

SJW Old Stock Forecast Pattern

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SJW Old Price Prediction

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SJW Old stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SJW Old stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of SJW Old. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict SJW Old. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for SJW Old

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SJW Old. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 54.86 54.86 54.86 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 46.10 46.10 60.35 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 50.46 53.70 56.95 Details

SJW Old After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

SJW Old Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

SJW Old Stock Price Prediction Analysis

SJW Old Hype Timeline

On the 24th of January SJW Old is traded for 54.86. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. SJW is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on SJW Old is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 54.86. About 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.39. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. SJW Old last dividend was issued on the 12th of May 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 17th of March 2006. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.

SJW Old Related Hype Analysis

SJW Old Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

SJW Old Market Strength Events

SJW Old Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for SJW Old

SJW Old Short Properties

Other Consideration for investing in SJW Stock