Nuscale Power Corp Stock Price Prediction

SMR Stock  USD 27.67  1.93  7.50%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Nuscale Power's the stock price is slightly above 67. This usually implies that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Nuscale, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

67

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Nuscale Power's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Nuscale Power and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Nuscale Power's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Nuscale Power Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Nuscale Power's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.09)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(1.19)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.63)
Wall Street Target Price
18.4167
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.93)
Using Nuscale Power hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nuscale Power Corp from the perspective of Nuscale Power response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Nuscale Power to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Nuscale because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Nuscale Power after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 27.44  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Nuscale Power Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.0717.2230.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.0528.2036.35
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
10.9212.0013.32
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.3-0.3-0.3
Details

Nuscale Power After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Nuscale Power at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nuscale Power or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Nuscale Power, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Nuscale Power Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Nuscale Power's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nuscale Power's historical news coverage. Nuscale Power's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.29 and 35.59, respectively. We have considered Nuscale Power's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
27.67
27.44
After-hype Price
35.59
Upside
Nuscale Power is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nuscale Power Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Nuscale Power Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nuscale Power is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nuscale Power backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nuscale Power, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  2.25 
8.16
  0.25 
  3.43 
9 Events / Month
10 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
27.67
27.44
0.83 
7,418  
Notes

Nuscale Power Hype Timeline

On the 22nd of November Nuscale Power Corp is traded for 27.67. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.25, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 3.43. Nuscale is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 27.44. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.83%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 2.25%. The volatility of related hype on Nuscale Power is about 534.79%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 31.10. About 50.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.95. Nuscale Power Corp had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Nuscale Power Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Nuscale Power Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Nuscale Power's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nuscale Power's future price movements. Getting to know how Nuscale Power's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nuscale Power may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CMICummins 6.29 8 per month 0.72  0.13  2.82 (1.68) 9.79 
GTLSChart Industries 7.65 9 per month 1.78  0.17  5.88 (2.96) 13.58 
GEGE Aerospace(2.43)10 per month 2.21 (0) 2.85 (2.36) 14.10 
NLLSFNel ASA 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.15) 6.25 (8.33) 22.74 
PHParker Hannifin 5.58 10 per month 0.83  0.12  2.18 (1.25) 11.35 
ETNEaton PLC(7.64)7 per month 1.23  0.13  2.55 (2.11) 8.54 
DOVDover 0.15 9 per month 1.02  0.04  2.18 (1.90) 6.51 
ITWIllinois Tool Works 1.72 9 per month 0.64  0.05  1.53 (1.33) 4.73 
EMREmerson Electric 0.94 8 per month 0.83  0.15  2.15 (1.83) 9.12 
ROKRockwell Automation 5.70 7 per month 1.45  0.01  3.02 (1.96) 14.96 
AOSSmith AO(0.26)11 per month 0.00 (0.17) 2.11 (2.61) 10.28 
IRIngersoll Rand 0.61 10 per month 1.14  0.07  3.27 (2.10) 7.21 

Nuscale Power Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Nuscale price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nuscale using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nuscale charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Nuscale Power Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Nuscale Power stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Nuscale Power Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Nuscale Power based on analysis of Nuscale Power hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Nuscale Power's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Nuscale Power's related companies.
 2021 2023 2024 (projected)
Payables Turnover0.09570.460.49
Days Of Inventory On Hand834.31959.45911.48

Story Coverage note for Nuscale Power

The number of cover stories for Nuscale Power depends on current market conditions and Nuscale Power's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nuscale Power is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nuscale Power's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Nuscale Power Short Properties

Nuscale Power's future price predictability will typically decrease when Nuscale Power's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nuscale Power Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nuscale Power's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nuscale Power's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding73.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments120.3 M

Additional Tools for Nuscale Stock Analysis

When running Nuscale Power's price analysis, check to measure Nuscale Power's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nuscale Power is operating at the current time. Most of Nuscale Power's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nuscale Power's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nuscale Power's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nuscale Power to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.