AB SKF Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| SKFD Stock | 24.20 0.20 0.83% |
SKFD Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of AB SKF's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 26th of February 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of AB SKF's share price is at 56. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling AB SKF, making its price go up or down. Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.62) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.11) |
Using AB SKF hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AB SKF from the perspective of AB SKF response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of AB SKF on the next trading day is expected to be 24.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.96. AB SKF after-hype prediction price | EUR 24.2 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
SKFD |
AB SKF Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SKFD price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SKFD using various technical indicators. When you analyze SKFD charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
AB SKF Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of AB SKF on the next trading day is expected to be 24.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33, mean absolute percentage error of 0.24, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.96.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SKFD Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that AB SKF's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
AB SKF Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest AB SKF | AB SKF Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
AB SKF Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting AB SKF's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. AB SKF's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 22.17 and 26.38, respectively. We have considered AB SKF's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of AB SKF stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent AB SKF stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0709 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3326 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0148 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 18.96 |
Predictive Modules for AB SKF
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AB SKF. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AB SKF's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AB SKF After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of AB SKF at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AB SKF or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of AB SKF, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
AB SKF Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting AB SKF's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AB SKF's historical news coverage. AB SKF's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 22.10 and 26.30, respectively. We have considered AB SKF's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
AB SKF is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AB SKF is based on 3 months time horizon.
AB SKF Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as AB SKF is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AB SKF backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AB SKF, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 2.10 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
24.20 | 24.20 | 0.00 |
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AB SKF Hype Timeline
AB SKF is at this time traded for 24.20on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.05. SKFD is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.18%. %. The volatility of related hype on AB SKF is about 724.14%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.25. The book value of the company was at this time reported as 118.17. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.38. AB SKF last dividend was issued on the 23rd of April 2026. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AB SKF to cross-verify your projections.AB SKF Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to AB SKF's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AB SKF's future price movements. Getting to know how AB SKF's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AB SKF may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TIB1 | Techtronic Industries | (0.06) | 7 per month | 1.25 | 0.23 | 4.39 | (2.62) | 10.28 | |
| SPU | Snap on Incorporated | (7.15) | 8 per month | 0.83 | 0.11 | 2.45 | (1.68) | 5.97 | |
| B1X | RBC Bearings Incorporated | 6.00 | 11 per month | 0.59 | 0.20 | 2.37 | (1.48) | 6.77 | |
| LNE | Lincoln Electric Holdings | 0.00 | 8 per month | 0.91 | 0.18 | 2.97 | (1.85) | 7.50 | |
| SWF | Stanley Black Decker | 2.42 | 9 per month | 1.22 | 0.16 | 4.81 | (2.76) | 11.29 | |
| SKFD | AB SKF | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.44 | 0.04 | 3.54 | (4.39) | 12.14 | |
| SKFB | AB SKF | 0.09 | 2 per month | 1.65 | 0.08 | 2.10 | (2.72) | 8.03 | |
| SKFA | AB SKF | 0.40 | 2 per month | 2.08 | 0.08 | 2.70 | (2.68) | 10.89 | |
| MK2A | Makita | (0.12) | 6 per month | 0.98 | 0.19 | 3.96 | (1.90) | 12.30 | |
| TO2 | Toro Co | 1.32 | 7 per month | 0.82 | 0.21 | 3.27 | (1.58) | 17.89 |
Other Forecasting Options for AB SKF
For every potential investor in SKFD, whether a beginner or expert, AB SKF's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SKFD Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SKFD. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying AB SKF's price trends.AB SKF Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with AB SKF stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of AB SKF could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AB SKF by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
AB SKF Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how AB SKF stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading AB SKF shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying AB SKF stock market strength indicators, traders can identify AB SKF entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 24.2 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 24.2 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.1 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.2 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 56.7 |
AB SKF Risk Indicators
The analysis of AB SKF's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in AB SKF's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting skfd stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.45 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.44 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.12 | |||
| Variance | 4.5 | |||
| Downside Variance | 11.38 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.93 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.55) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for AB SKF
The number of cover stories for AB SKF depends on current market conditions and AB SKF's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AB SKF is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AB SKF's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in SKFD Stock
AB SKF financial ratios help investors to determine whether SKFD Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SKFD with respect to the benefits of owning AB SKF security.