Beauty Health Stock Forward View

SKIN Stock  USD 1.50  0.01  0.66%   
Beauty Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Beauty Health's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Beauty Health's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Beauty Health fundamentals over time.
As of today, The relative strength index (RSI) of Beauty Health's share price is at 51. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Beauty Health, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 51

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Beauty Health's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Beauty Health Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Beauty Health's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.04)
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.16
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.15
Wall Street Target Price
1.9583
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.05)
Using Beauty Health hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Beauty Health Co from the perspective of Beauty Health response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Beauty Health using Beauty Health's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Beauty using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Beauty Health's stock price.

Beauty Health Short Interest

An investor who is long Beauty Health may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Beauty Health and may potentially protect profits, hedge Beauty Health with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
1.6364
Short Percent
0.2877
Short Ratio
42.09
Shares Short Prior Month
16.7 M
50 Day MA
1.454

Beauty Relative Strength Index

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Beauty Health Co on the next trading day is expected to be 1.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.56.

Beauty Health Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Beauty Health's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Beauty. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Beauty can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Beauty Health Co. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Beauty Health's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Beauty Health.

Beauty Health Implied Volatility

    
  1.88  
Beauty Health's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Beauty Health Co stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Beauty Health's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Beauty Health stock will not fluctuate a lot when Beauty Health's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Beauty Health Co on the next trading day is expected to be 1.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.56.

Beauty Health after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.51  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Beauty Health to cross-verify your projections.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Beauty Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Beauty Health's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Beauty Health's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Beauty Health stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Beauty Health's open interest, investors have to compare it to Beauty Health's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Beauty Health is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Beauty. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Beauty Health Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Beauty price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Beauty using various technical indicators. When you analyze Beauty charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Beauty Health Cash Forecast

Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Beauty Health's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2019-12-31
Previous Quarter
212 M
Current Value
219.4 M
Quarterly Volatility
296.7 M
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Beauty Health is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Beauty Health Co value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Beauty Health Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Beauty Health Co on the next trading day is expected to be 1.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.56.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Beauty Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Beauty Health's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Beauty Health Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Beauty Health  Beauty Health Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Beauty Health Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Beauty Health's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Beauty Health's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 5.38, respectively. We have considered Beauty Health's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.50
1.44
Expected Value
5.38
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Beauty Health stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Beauty Health stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.0337
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0412
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0287
SAESum of the absolute errors2.5555
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Beauty Health Co. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Beauty Health. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Beauty Health

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Beauty Health. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.515.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.235.20
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
1.781.962.17
Details

Beauty Health After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Beauty Health at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Beauty Health or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Beauty Health, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Beauty Health Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Beauty Health's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Beauty Health's historical news coverage. Beauty Health's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.08 and 5.48, respectively. We have considered Beauty Health's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1.50
1.51
After-hype Price
5.48
Upside
Beauty Health is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Beauty Health is based on 3 months time horizon.

Beauty Health Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Beauty Health is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Beauty Health backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Beauty Health, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.23 
3.94
 0.00  
  0.02 
10 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.50
1.51
0.00 
39,400  
Notes

Beauty Health Hype Timeline

Beauty Health is at this time traded for 1.50. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. Beauty is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.23%. %. The volatility of related hype on Beauty Health is about 5116.88%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.48. About 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Beauty Health was at this time reported as 0.52. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.95. Beauty Health recorded a loss per share of 0.16. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Beauty Health to cross-verify your projections.

Beauty Health Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Beauty Health's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Beauty Health's future price movements. Getting to know how Beauty Health's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Beauty Health may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ABVEAbove Food Ingredients(0.02)10 per month 0.00 (0.08) 14.07 (15.33) 52.76 
ZVIAZevia Pbc(0.01)28 per month 0.00 (0.12) 3.89 (7.96) 25.76 
ACUAcme United(0.49)6 per month 1.34  0.02  3.87 (2.42) 9.49 
EWCZEuropean Wax Center 0.11 10 per month 3.15  0.01  5.63 (6.16) 20.89 
FTLFFitLife Brands Common(0.02)23 per month 0.00 (0.14) 3.64 (3.94) 9.58 
EPSMEpsium Enterprise Limited 0.05 5 per month 0.00 (0.13) 16.99 (19.12) 110.67 
PTNMPitanium 0.00 2 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
SLSNSolesence Common Stock 0.02 10 per month 0.00 (0.26) 6.76 (8.92) 27.67 
YOULYoulife Group American(0.05)8 per month 8.48  0  11.50 (13.29) 82.82 
SKILSkillsoft Corp(0.36)10 per month 0.00 (0.06) 13.00 (14.16) 39.40 

Other Forecasting Options for Beauty Health

For every potential investor in Beauty, whether a beginner or expert, Beauty Health's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Beauty Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Beauty. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Beauty Health's price trends.

Beauty Health Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Beauty Health stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Beauty Health could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Beauty Health by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Beauty Health Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Beauty Health stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Beauty Health shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Beauty Health stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Beauty Health Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Beauty Health Risk Indicators

The analysis of Beauty Health's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Beauty Health's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting beauty stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Beauty Health

The number of cover stories for Beauty Health depends on current market conditions and Beauty Health's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Beauty Health is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Beauty Health's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Beauty Health Short Properties

Beauty Health's future price predictability will typically decrease when Beauty Health's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Beauty Health Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Beauty Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Beauty Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding142.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments370.1 M
When determining whether Beauty Health offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Beauty Health's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Beauty Health Co Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Beauty Health Co Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Beauty Health to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.
Will Personal Care Products sector continue expanding? Could Beauty diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Beauty Health. If investors know Beauty will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Beauty Health data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share
(0.16)
Revenue Per Share
2.403
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.10)
Return On Assets
(0.03)
Return On Equity
(0.19)
Beauty Health's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Beauty's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Beauty Health's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Beauty Health's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Beauty Health's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Beauty Health is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Beauty Health's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.