Skellerup Holdings Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression

SKLUY Stock  USD 29.70  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Skellerup Holdings Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 29.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.31. Skellerup Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Skellerup Holdings price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Skellerup Holdings Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 29th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Skellerup Holdings Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 29.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.31.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Skellerup Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Skellerup Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Skellerup Holdings Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Skellerup Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Skellerup Holdings' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Skellerup Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 28.81 and 30.73, respectively. We have considered Skellerup Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
29.70
29.77
Expected Value
30.73
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Skellerup Holdings pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Skellerup Holdings pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.4269
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0871
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.003
SAESum of the absolute errors5.3113
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Skellerup Holdings Limited historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Skellerup Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Skellerup Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Skellerup Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.7429.7030.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.2129.1730.13
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
29.7029.7029.70
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Skellerup Holdings

For every potential investor in Skellerup, whether a beginner or expert, Skellerup Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Skellerup Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Skellerup. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Skellerup Holdings' price trends.

Skellerup Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Skellerup Holdings pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Skellerup Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Skellerup Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Skellerup Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Skellerup Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Skellerup Holdings' current price.

Skellerup Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Skellerup Holdings pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Skellerup Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Skellerup Holdings pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Skellerup Holdings Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Skellerup Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Skellerup Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Skellerup Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting skellerup pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Skellerup Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Skellerup Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Skellerup Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Skellerup Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Skellerup Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Skellerup Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Skellerup Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Skellerup Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.