Skillz Platform Stock Forward View
| SKLZ Stock | USD 3.76 0.14 3.59% |
Skillz Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Skillz Platform's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 30.538 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (1.18) | EPS Estimate Current Year (3.67) | EPS Estimate Next Year (2.71) | Wall Street Target Price 6 |
Using Skillz Platform hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Skillz Platform from the perspective of Skillz Platform response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Skillz Platform using Skillz Platform's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Skillz using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Skillz Platform's stock price.
Skillz Platform Short Interest
An investor who is long Skillz Platform may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Skillz Platform and may potentially protect profits, hedge Skillz Platform with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 6.3519 | Short Percent 0.1674 | Short Ratio 19.55 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.4 M | 50 Day MA 4.636 |
Skillz Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Skillz Platform on the next trading day is expected to be 3.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.26.Skillz Platform Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Skillz Platform's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Skillz. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Skillz can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Skillz Platform. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Skillz Platform's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Skillz Platform.
Skillz Platform Implied Volatility | 0.9 |
Skillz Platform's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Skillz Platform stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Skillz Platform's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Skillz Platform stock will not fluctuate a lot when Skillz Platform's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Skillz Platform on the next trading day is expected to be 3.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.26. Skillz Platform after-hype prediction price | USD 3.78 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Skillz Platform to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Skillz contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Skillz Platform will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0563% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Skillz Platform trading at USD 3.76, that is roughly USD 0.002115 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Skillz Platform's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Skillz Platform options at the current volatility level of 0.9%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Skillz Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Skillz Platform's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Skillz Platform's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Skillz Platform stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Skillz Platform's open interest, investors have to compare it to Skillz Platform's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Skillz Platform is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Skillz. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Skillz Platform Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Skillz price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Skillz using various technical indicators. When you analyze Skillz charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Skillz Platform's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2019-12-31 | Previous Quarter 228.7 M | Current Value 211.8 M | Quarterly Volatility 170.5 M |
Skillz Platform Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 11th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Skillz Platform on the next trading day is expected to be 3.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.26.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Skillz Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Skillz Platform's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Skillz Platform Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Skillz Platform | Skillz Platform Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Skillz Platform Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Skillz Platform's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Skillz Platform's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 7.79, respectively. We have considered Skillz Platform's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Skillz Platform stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Skillz Platform stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.0458 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1978 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0433 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.2635 |
Predictive Modules for Skillz Platform
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Skillz Platform. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Skillz Platform After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Skillz Platform at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Skillz Platform or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Skillz Platform, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Skillz Platform Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Skillz Platform's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Skillz Platform's historical news coverage. Skillz Platform's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.19 and 8.27, respectively. We have considered Skillz Platform's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Skillz Platform is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Skillz Platform is based on 3 months time horizon.
Skillz Platform Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Skillz Platform is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Skillz Platform backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Skillz Platform, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.74 | 4.54 | 0.21 | 0.02 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3.76 | 3.78 | 0.26 |
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Skillz Platform Hype Timeline
Skillz Platform is at this time traded for 3.76. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.21, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Skillz is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 3.78. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.26%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.74%. The volatility of related hype on Skillz Platform is about 15655.17%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.74. About 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.46. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Skillz Platform recorded a loss per share of 4.75. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:20 split on the 26th of June 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Skillz Platform to cross-verify your projections.Skillz Platform Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Skillz Platform's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Skillz Platform's future price movements. Getting to know how Skillz Platform's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Skillz Platform may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MYPS | Playstudios | (0.02) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 5.26 | (10.59) | 20.94 | |
| GNSS | Genasys | (0.02) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.56 | (4.66) | 16.48 | |
| SLNH | Soluna Holdings | (0.27) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 17.32 | (13.09) | 43.75 | |
| NRDY | Nerdy Inc | 0.05 | 10 per month | 3.97 | 0.02 | 9.17 | (7.14) | 20.36 | |
| ASYS | Amtech Systems | 0.29 | 4 per month | 5.92 | 0.16 | 8.14 | (4.87) | 47.60 | |
| MX | MagnaChip Semiconductor | 0.29 | 5 per month | 3.05 | 0.01 | 5.10 | (5.81) | 18.85 | |
| VHC | VirnetX Holding Corp | (0.50) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 6.47 | (7.56) | 25.58 | |
| MLGO | MicroAlgo | (0.02) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 9.56 | (10.30) | 28.92 | |
| PSQH | PSQ Holdings | (0.04) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 6.67 | (8.53) | 19.40 | |
| NA | Nano Labs | (0.05) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 7.45 | (7.27) | 38.30 |
Other Forecasting Options for Skillz Platform
For every potential investor in Skillz, whether a beginner or expert, Skillz Platform's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Skillz Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Skillz. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Skillz Platform's price trends.Skillz Platform Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Skillz Platform stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Skillz Platform could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Skillz Platform by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Skillz Platform Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Skillz Platform stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Skillz Platform shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Skillz Platform stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Skillz Platform entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 2479.96 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.61) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.96 | |||
| Day Median Price | 3.82 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 3.8 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.13) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.14) |
Skillz Platform Risk Indicators
The analysis of Skillz Platform's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Skillz Platform's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting skillz stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.68 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.38 | |||
| Variance | 19.16 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Skillz Platform
The number of cover stories for Skillz Platform depends on current market conditions and Skillz Platform's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Skillz Platform is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Skillz Platform's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Skillz Platform Short Properties
Skillz Platform's future price predictability will typically decrease when Skillz Platform's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Skillz Platform often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Skillz Platform's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Skillz Platform's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 17.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 281.9 M |
Additional Tools for Skillz Stock Analysis
When running Skillz Platform's price analysis, check to measure Skillz Platform's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Skillz Platform is operating at the current time. Most of Skillz Platform's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Skillz Platform's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Skillz Platform's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Skillz Platform to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.