Standard Life Pink Sheet Forward View

SLFPY Stock  USD 11.99  0.64  5.07%   
Standard Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Standard Life's pink sheet price is slightly above 60. This usually implies that the pink sheet is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Standard, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 60

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Standard Life's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Standard Life Aberdeen, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Standard Life hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Standard Life Aberdeen from the perspective of Standard Life response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Standard Life Aberdeen on the next trading day is expected to be 12.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.01.

Standard Life after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 11.99  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Standard Life to cross-verify your projections.

Standard Life Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Standard price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Standard using various technical indicators. When you analyze Standard charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Standard Life is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Standard Life Aberdeen value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Standard Life Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 4th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Standard Life Aberdeen on the next trading day is expected to be 12.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.01.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Standard Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Standard Life's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Standard Life Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Standard Life  Standard Life Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Standard Life Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Standard Life's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Standard Life's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.12 and 14.12, respectively. We have considered Standard Life's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
11.99
12.12
Expected Value
14.12
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Standard Life pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Standard Life pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.6656
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1314
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0119
SAESum of the absolute errors8.0139
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Standard Life Aberdeen. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Standard Life. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Standard Life

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Standard Life Aberdeen. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.0111.9913.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.7411.7213.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
10.8211.6112.40
Details

Standard Life After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Standard Life at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Standard Life or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Standard Life, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Standard Life Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Standard Life's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Standard Life's historical news coverage. Standard Life's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.01 and 13.97, respectively. We have considered Standard Life's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
11.99
11.99
After-hype Price
13.97
Upside
Standard Life is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Standard Life Aberdeen is based on 3 months time horizon.

Standard Life Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Standard Life is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Standard Life backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Standard Life, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.20 
2.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
11.99
11.99
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Standard Life Hype Timeline

Standard Life Aberdeen is at this time traded for 11.99. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Standard is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.2%. %. The volatility of related hype on Standard Life is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.99. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.54. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Standard Life Aberdeen last dividend was issued on the 18th of August 2022. The entity had 875:1000 split on the 2nd of November 2018. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Standard Life to cross-verify your projections.

Standard Life Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Standard Life's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Standard Life's future price movements. Getting to know how Standard Life's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Standard Life may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AZIHFAzimut Holding SpA 0.00 0 per month 2.62  0.05  6.65 (3.78) 18.88 
REVNFReinet Investments SCA 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ONEXFOnex Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.05) 2.03 (2.96) 9.16 
RITPFRIT Capital Partners 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0  0.00  0.00  12.55 
TKKHFTikehau Capital 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.15) 0.00  0.00  18.25 
SREDFStorebrand ASA 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.11  0.00  0.00  26.98 
FKKFYFukuoka Financial Group 0.00 0 per month 2.64  0.07  8.61 (6.45) 23.63 
EUZOFEurazeo SE 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.09) 0.00  0.00  5.95 
DCYHFDiscovery Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
RMGOFRemgro Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Standard Life

For every potential investor in Standard, whether a beginner or expert, Standard Life's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Standard Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Standard. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Standard Life's price trends.

Standard Life Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Standard Life pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Standard Life could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Standard Life by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Standard Life Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Standard Life pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Standard Life shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Standard Life pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Standard Life Aberdeen entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Standard Life Risk Indicators

The analysis of Standard Life's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Standard Life's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting standard pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Standard Life

The number of cover stories for Standard Life depends on current market conditions and Standard Life's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Standard Life is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Standard Life's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Additional Tools for Standard Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Standard Life's price analysis, check to measure Standard Life's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Standard Life is operating at the current time. Most of Standard Life's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Standard Life's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Standard Life's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Standard Life to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.