Silgan Holdings Stock Forward View - 4 Period Moving Average
| SLGN Stock | USD 40.26 -0.24 -0.59% |
Silgan Holdings's 4 Period Moving Average forecast is computed from observed closing prices over the selected horizon. The accuracy statistics below distinguish a well-fitted model from one that is smoothing over meaningful price movement. The 4 Period Moving Average model projects Silgan Holdings at 40.32 for the next trading day, above the most recent closing price. The 4 Period Moving Average output reflects statistical model results and is provided for reference purposes.
4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 11th of May 2026
Over a 90-day horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average model forecasts Silgan Holdings at 40.32 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 0.92 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.02 , and sum of absolute errors of 52.48 .This represents a tight forecast with good short-term tracking of Silgan Holdings' price movement. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Silgan Holdings | Silgan Holdings Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The next-day forecast range for Silgan Holdings defines statistically derived downside and upside boundaries based on model performance. The projected band runs from roughly 38.59 on the downside to about 42.05 on the upside. The moderate spread reflects defined uncertainty around the forecast.
Model Predictive Factors
The table below summarizes the 4 Period Moving Average model's error metrics for Silgan Holdings stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.0939 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.3436 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.9207 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0223 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 52.48 |
Other Forecasting Options for Silgan Holdings
Analyzing Silgan Holdings' price movement through moving averages at different time horizons reveals whether short-term momentum aligns with the longer-term trend. Touches of the upper or lower band in Silgan Holdings' chart signal overbought or oversold conditions.Silgan Holdings Related Equities
These stocks within the Materials space are often compared to Silgan Holdings by analysts and fund managers in the sector. Checking cash flow across this peer set helps gauge Silgan Holdings' relative financial strength.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Silgan Holdings Market Strength Events
For investors tracking Silgan Holdings, market strength indicators offer quantitative evaluation of stock behavior. When Rate of Change diverges from price direction, it often signals weakening momentum before a visible reversal in Silgan Holdings.
Silgan Holdings Risk Indicators
Analyzing Silgan Holdings' basic risk indicators provides a structured view of the risk-return trade-off for silgan holdings stock. Expected shortfall estimates the average loss in the worst-case tail scenarios, going beyond what standard deviation alone captures for Silgan Holdings.
| Mean Deviation | 1.34 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.73 | |||
| Variance | 2.98 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Silgan Holdings Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to Silgan Holdings matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. The practical goal is to identify when the balance between long and short participation may be changing the quality of the setup.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 106.78 million | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.08 billion |