Standard Lithium Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

SLI Stock   2.32  0.21  8.30%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Standard Lithium on the next trading day is expected to be 2.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.52. Standard Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Standard Lithium's Receivables Turnover is fairly stable compared to the past year. Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to climb to 6.22 in 2024, despite the fact that Inventory Turnover is likely to grow to (0.03). . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 144.2 M in 2024. Net Loss is likely to drop to about (39.7 M) in 2024.
A two period moving average forecast for Standard Lithium is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Standard Lithium Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Standard Lithium on the next trading day is expected to be 2.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.52.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Standard Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Standard Lithium's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Standard Lithium Stock Forecast Pattern

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Standard Lithium Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Standard Lithium's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Standard Lithium's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 10.14, respectively. We have considered Standard Lithium's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.32
2.32
Expected Value
10.14
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Standard Lithium stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Standard Lithium stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.9891
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0175
MADMean absolute deviation0.142
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0565
SAESum of the absolute errors8.52
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Standard Lithium price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Standard Lithium. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Standard Lithium

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Standard Lithium. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.122.3610.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.112.2410.06
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.04-0.04-0.04
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Standard Lithium

For every potential investor in Standard, whether a beginner or expert, Standard Lithium's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Standard Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Standard. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Standard Lithium's price trends.

Standard Lithium Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Standard Lithium stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Standard Lithium could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Standard Lithium by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Standard Lithium Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Standard Lithium's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Standard Lithium's current price.

Standard Lithium Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Standard Lithium stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Standard Lithium shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Standard Lithium stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Standard Lithium entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Standard Lithium Risk Indicators

The analysis of Standard Lithium's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Standard Lithium's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting standard stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Standard Stock Analysis

When running Standard Lithium's price analysis, check to measure Standard Lithium's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Standard Lithium is operating at the current time. Most of Standard Lithium's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Standard Lithium's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Standard Lithium's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Standard Lithium to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.