Standard Lithium Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| SLI Stock | USD 4.34 0.49 10.14% |
Standard Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Standard Lithium's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 2nd of February 2026, the relative strength momentum indicator of Standard Lithium's share price is approaching 46. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Standard Lithium, making its price go up or down. Momentum 46
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.04) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.09) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.11) | Wall Street Target Price 5.53 |
Using Standard Lithium hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Standard Lithium from the perspective of Standard Lithium response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Standard Lithium using Standard Lithium's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Standard using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Standard Lithium's stock price.
Standard Lithium Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Standard Lithium's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Standard. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Standard Lithium stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 3.1867 | Short Percent 0.0165 | Short Ratio 1.75 | Shares Short Prior Month 5.9 M | 50 Day MA 4.7518 |
Standard Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Standard Lithium on the next trading day is expected to be 4.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.83.Standard Lithium Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Standard Lithium's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Standard. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Standard can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Standard Lithium. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Standard Lithium's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Standard Lithium.
Standard Lithium Implied Volatility | 0.77 |
Standard Lithium's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Standard Lithium stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Standard Lithium's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Standard Lithium stock will not fluctuate a lot when Standard Lithium's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Standard Lithium on the next trading day is expected to be 4.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.83. Standard Lithium after-hype prediction price | USD 4.34 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Standard Lithium to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Standard Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Standard Lithium's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Standard Lithium's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Standard Lithium stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Standard Lithium's open interest, investors have to compare it to Standard Lithium's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Standard Lithium is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Standard. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Standard Lithium Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Standard price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Standard using various technical indicators. When you analyze Standard charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Standard Lithium Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Standard Lithium on the next trading day is expected to be 4.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.83.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Standard Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Standard Lithium's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Standard Lithium Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Standard Lithium | Standard Lithium Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Standard Lithium Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Standard Lithium's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Standard Lithium's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 9.04, respectively. We have considered Standard Lithium's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Standard Lithium stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Standard Lithium stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.6448 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0267 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1835 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0405 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 10.825 |
Predictive Modules for Standard Lithium
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Standard Lithium. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Standard Lithium After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Standard Lithium at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Standard Lithium or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Standard Lithium, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Standard Lithium Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Standard Lithium's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Standard Lithium's historical news coverage. Standard Lithium's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.22 and 9.21, respectively. We have considered Standard Lithium's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Standard Lithium is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Standard Lithium is based on 3 months time horizon.
Standard Lithium Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Standard Lithium is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Standard Lithium backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Standard Lithium, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.58 | 4.70 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 33 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 33 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
4.34 | 4.34 | 0.00 |
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Standard Lithium Hype Timeline
On the 2nd of February Standard Lithium is traded for 4.34. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Standard is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.58%. %. The volatility of related hype on Standard Lithium is about 10681.82%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.37. The book value of the company was at this time reported as 1.22. The company last dividend was issued on the December 4, 2012. Standard Lithium had 1:5 split on the 20th of June 2017. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 33 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Standard Lithium to cross-verify your projections.Standard Lithium Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Standard Lithium's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Standard Lithium's future price movements. Getting to know how Standard Lithium's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Standard Lithium may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CMP | Compass Minerals International | (0.29) | 9 per month | 3.05 | 0.17 | 4.98 | (3.29) | 19.48 | |
| NEXA | Nexa Resources SA | 0.14 | 14 per month | 2.33 | 0.33 | 7.80 | (4.48) | 15.16 | |
| LAR | Lithium Argentina AG | (0.04) | 8 per month | 4.01 | 0.14 | 9.25 | (7.46) | 22.80 | |
| GSM | Ferroglobe PLC | 0.06 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 5.66 | (5.47) | 19.69 | |
| TMQ | Trilogy Metals | (0.15) | 10 per month | 5.11 | 0.02 | 7.29 | (7.64) | 25.71 | |
| GTI | GTI | 0.04 | 19 per month | 14.30 | 0.03 | 19.74 | (10.95) | 128.11 | |
| SGML | Sigma Lithium Resources | 0.04 | 32 per month | 7.26 | 0.14 | 15.91 | (14.10) | 48.40 | |
| CPAC | Cementos Pacasmayo SAA | (0.06) | 10 per month | 1.66 | 0.13 | 4.20 | (2.74) | 57.41 | |
| UAMY | United States Antimony | (0.19) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 15.85 | (12.44) | 32.66 | |
| ODC | Oil Dri | 0.89 | 6 per month | 2.47 | 0.04 | 3.17 | (2.61) | 15.64 |
Other Forecasting Options for Standard Lithium
For every potential investor in Standard, whether a beginner or expert, Standard Lithium's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Standard Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Standard. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Standard Lithium's price trends.Standard Lithium Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Standard Lithium stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Standard Lithium could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Standard Lithium by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Standard Lithium Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Standard Lithium stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Standard Lithium shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Standard Lithium stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Standard Lithium entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Standard Lithium Risk Indicators
The analysis of Standard Lithium's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Standard Lithium's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting standard stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.68 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.14 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.78 | |||
| Variance | 22.87 | |||
| Downside Variance | 29.76 | |||
| Semi Variance | 26.4 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.55) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Standard Lithium
The number of cover stories for Standard Lithium depends on current market conditions and Standard Lithium's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Standard Lithium is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Standard Lithium's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Standard Lithium Short Properties
Standard Lithium's future price predictability will typically decrease when Standard Lithium's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Standard Lithium often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Standard Lithium's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Standard Lithium's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 185.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 31.7 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Standard Lithium to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Standard Stock please use our How to Invest in Standard Lithium guide.You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is there potential for Diversified Metals & Mining market expansion? Will Standard introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Standard Lithium. If investors know Standard will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Standard Lithium listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Standard Lithium is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Standard that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Standard Lithium's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Standard Lithium's true underlying value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Because Standard Lithium's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Standard Lithium's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Standard Lithium's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Standard Lithium is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Standard Lithium's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.