Pegasus Resources Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average

SLTFF Stock  USD 0.10  0.01  9.09%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Pegasus Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 0.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.92. Pegasus Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Pegasus Resources' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Pegasus Resources is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Pegasus Resources Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Pegasus Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 0.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0006, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.92.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pegasus Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pegasus Resources' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Pegasus Resources Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Pegasus Resources Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Pegasus Resources' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pegasus Resources' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 30.25, respectively. We have considered Pegasus Resources' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.10
0.10
Expected Value
30.25
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pegasus Resources pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pegasus Resources pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.9309
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 5.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0153
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1602
SAESum of the absolute errors0.9175
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Pegasus Resources price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Pegasus Resources. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Pegasus Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pegasus Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.1030.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0930.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Pegasus Resources. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Pegasus Resources' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Pegasus Resources' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Pegasus Resources.

Other Forecasting Options for Pegasus Resources

For every potential investor in Pegasus, whether a beginner or expert, Pegasus Resources' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pegasus Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pegasus. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pegasus Resources' price trends.

Pegasus Resources Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pegasus Resources pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pegasus Resources could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pegasus Resources by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Pegasus Resources Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Pegasus Resources' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Pegasus Resources' current price.

Pegasus Resources Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pegasus Resources pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pegasus Resources shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pegasus Resources pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Pegasus Resources entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Pegasus Resources Risk Indicators

The analysis of Pegasus Resources' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pegasus Resources' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pegasus pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Pegasus Pink Sheet

Pegasus Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pegasus Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pegasus with respect to the benefits of owning Pegasus Resources security.