PIMCO Short Etf Forward View - Simple Regression
| SMMU Etf | USD 50.76 0.04 0.08% |
PIMCO Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength momentum indicator of PIMCO Short's share price is above 70 at this time. This usually implies that the etf is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling PIMCO, making its price go up or down. Momentum 75
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using PIMCO Short hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PIMCO Short Term from the perspective of PIMCO Short response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of PIMCO Short Term on the next trading day is expected to be 50.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.19. PIMCO Short after-hype prediction price | USD 50.76 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PIMCO Short to cross-verify your projections. PIMCO Short Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine PIMCO price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PIMCO using various technical indicators. When you analyze PIMCO charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
PIMCO Short Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of PIMCO Short Term on the next trading day is expected to be 50.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.19.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PIMCO Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PIMCO Short's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
PIMCO Short Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest PIMCO Short | PIMCO Short Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
PIMCO Short Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting PIMCO Short's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PIMCO Short's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 50.68 and 50.78, respectively. We have considered PIMCO Short's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PIMCO Short etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PIMCO Short etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.7158 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0358 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 7.0E-4 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.1856 |
Predictive Modules for PIMCO Short
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PIMCO Short Term. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.PIMCO Short After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of PIMCO Short at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PIMCO Short or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of PIMCO Short, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
PIMCO Short Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting PIMCO Short's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PIMCO Short's historical news coverage. PIMCO Short's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 50.71 and 50.81, respectively. We have considered PIMCO Short's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
PIMCO Short is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PIMCO Short Term is based on 3 months time horizon.
PIMCO Short Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as PIMCO Short is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PIMCO Short backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PIMCO Short, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
50.76 | 50.76 | 0.00 |
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PIMCO Short Hype Timeline
PIMCO Short Term is at this time traded for 50.76. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. PIMCO is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on PIMCO Short is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 50.76. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PIMCO Short to cross-verify your projections.PIMCO Short Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to PIMCO Short's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PIMCO Short's future price movements. Getting to know how PIMCO Short's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PIMCO Short may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FLMI | Franklin Liberty Intermediate | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 0.16 | (0.16) | 0.60 | |
| LDUR | PIMCO Enhanced Low | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.42) | 0.12 | (0.07) | 0.25 | |
| SPLB | SPDR Barclays Long | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.41 | (0.09) | 0.66 | (0.75) | 1.76 | |
| SCCR | Schwab Strategic Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.11 | (0.21) | 0.27 | (0.23) | 0.70 | |
| CGCV | Capital Group Conservative | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.59 | 0.04 | 0.84 | (1.01) | 3.25 | |
| TMSL | T Rowe Price | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.80 | 0.09 | 1.79 | (1.57) | 4.02 | |
| BSCW | Invesco Exchange Traded Self Indexed | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.04 | (0.13) | 0.29 | (0.29) | 0.73 | |
| BAB | Invesco Taxable Municipal | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.30 | (0.13) | 0.48 | (0.55) | 1.44 | |
| TAFI | Ab Tax Aware Short | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.39) | 0.12 | (0.12) | 0.40 | |
| QDTE | Roundhill ETF Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.08 | (0.03) | 1.37 | (1.92) | 4.48 |
Other Forecasting Options for PIMCO Short
For every potential investor in PIMCO, whether a beginner or expert, PIMCO Short's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PIMCO Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PIMCO. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PIMCO Short's price trends.PIMCO Short Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PIMCO Short etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PIMCO Short could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PIMCO Short by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
PIMCO Short Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PIMCO Short etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PIMCO Short shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PIMCO Short etf market strength indicators, traders can identify PIMCO Short Term entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
PIMCO Short Risk Indicators
The analysis of PIMCO Short's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PIMCO Short's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pimco etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.0397 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.0525 | |||
| Variance | 0.0028 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.0042 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0.02) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.05) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for PIMCO Short
The number of cover stories for PIMCO Short depends on current market conditions and PIMCO Short's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that PIMCO Short is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about PIMCO Short's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PIMCO Short to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
PIMCO Short Term's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on PIMCO's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate PIMCO Short's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Since PIMCO Short's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between PIMCO Short's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if PIMCO Short is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, PIMCO Short's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.