SmartRent Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average

SMRT Stock

USD 1.33 -0.01 -0.75%

This Simple Moving Average projection for SmartRent is fitted to the equity's recent daily closes. Low error metrics relative to the price level indicate the model fits recent trading behavior well. Older observations carry less weight in the current projection as the price series extends. High SAE relative to the price level signals cumulative forecast drift over the evaluation period. The Simple Moving Average model projects SmartRent at 1.33 for the next trading day, above the most recent closing price. This forecast is one analytical input among many and should be assessed in the context of broader analysis.

The two-period moving average forecast for SmartRent replaces each daily closing price with the mean of that price and the preceding day's close. This produces a lightly smoothed series that closely tracks the actual price with a one-period lag.

Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of April

Over a 90-day horizon, the Simple Moving Average model forecasts SmartRent at 1.33 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.03 , and sum of absolute errors of 2.82 .

This represents a tight forecast with good short-term tracking of SmartRent's price movement. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.

Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest SmartRent

SmartRent Price Prediction

Research Analysis

Forecasted Value

The next-day forecast range for SmartRent defines statistically derived downside and upside boundaries based on model performance. Downside is estimated near 0.01 and upside near 5.20. The wide range indicates elevated uncertainty in short-term projections.

Market Value

1.33

0.01

Downside

1.33

Expected Value

5.20

Upside

Target Odds

Above Odds

Below Odds

Model Predictive Factors

The table below summarizes the Simple Moving Average model's error metrics for SmartRent stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.

AIC	Akaike Information Criteria	109.0387
Bias	Arithmetic mean of the errors	0.0092
MAD	Mean absolute deviation	0.0479
MAPE	Mean absolute percentage error	0.0302
SAE	Sum of the absolute errors	2.825

With only two periods, the model is highly responsive to recent SmartRent price changes but provides minimal noise reduction. It is best suited for short-term evaluation of low-to-moderate volatility price series. A widening gap between the forecast and actual values may indicate an acceleration in price momentum.

Other Forecasting Options for SmartRent

Fibonacci retracement levels applied to SmartRent Stock price swings identify potential support and resistance zones. Extreme price moves in SmartRent occur more frequently than standard risk models assume. Support and resistance levels derived from SmartRent's historical data identify zones where buying or selling pressure has stalled moves. A volume spike without a corresponding price move signals accumulation or distribution ahead of a directional breakout.

SmartRent Related Equities

Checking SmartRent against related firms within the Information Technology space reveals where the stock stands among peers. Market cap and total value checks frame SmartRent's size within the competitive field.

A2Z Smart Technologies ALT5 Sigma Oneconnect Financial Technology 8x8 Common Stock ON24 Inc Asure Software Unisys Waldencast Acquisition Corp ReposiTrak Marti Technologies American Airlines Group Alcoa Corp Apple Inc Best Buy Co Citigroup

Risk & Return

Correlation

SmartRent Market Strength Events

Rate of Change and Momentum readings for SmartRent measure the velocity of recent price moves rather than direction alone. These indicators add context to how recent sessions in SmartRent have behaved. These indicators are most informative when viewed alongside SmartRent's volume profile and volatility measures. The Price Action Indicator distills each session's open-high-low-close into a single directional score for SmartRent.

	Accumulation Distribution	0.0296
	Daily Balance Of Power	-0.25
	Rate Of Daily Change	0.99
	Day Median Price	1.33
	Day Typical Price	1.33
	Market Facilitation Index	0.04
	Price Action Indicator	-0.01
	Period Momentum Indicator	-0.01

SmartRent Risk Indicators

Standard deviation and variance for SmartRent measure total price dispersion, while semi-deviation isolates only the downside moves. Higher variance relative to sector peers signals that SmartRent's price path has been less predictable over the measured period. Analyzing SmartRent's risk indicators helps explain how recent moves compare with its broader trading range. A narrow gap between mean deviation and standard deviation indicates that SmartRent's return distribution is relatively symmetric.

	Mean Deviation	2.6
	Standard Deviation	3.81
	Variance	14.54

Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

SmartRent Short Properties

Short sentiment tied to SmartRent matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. Comparing short sentiment with trend behavior, volume, and the broader market narrative provides a more grounded view.

	Common Stock Shares Outstanding	189.7 M
	Cash And Short Term Investments	104.5 M

	Naive Prediction
	Simple Exponential Smoothing
	Double Exponential Smoothing
	Triple Exponential Smoothing
	Simple Regression
	Polynomial Regression
	Simple Moving Average
	4 Period Moving Average
	8 Period Moving Average
	20 Period Moving Average