Defiance Daily Etf Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| SMST Etf | 82.91 7.77 10.34% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Defiance Daily Target on the next trading day is expected to be 79.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 244.06. Defiance Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength momentum indicator of Defiance Daily's share price is at 56. This usually implies that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Defiance Daily, making its price go up or down. Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Defiance Daily hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Defiance Daily Target from the perspective of Defiance Daily response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Defiance Daily using Defiance Daily's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Defiance using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Defiance Daily's stock price.
Defiance Daily Implied Volatility | 1.71 |
Defiance Daily's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Defiance Daily Target stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Defiance Daily's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Defiance Daily stock will not fluctuate a lot when Defiance Daily's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Defiance Daily Target on the next trading day is expected to be 79.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 244.06. Defiance Daily after-hype prediction price | USD 82.91 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Defiance Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Defiance Daily's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Defiance Daily's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Defiance Daily stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Defiance Daily's open interest, investors have to compare it to Defiance Daily's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Defiance Daily is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Defiance. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Defiance Daily Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Defiance price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Defiance using various technical indicators. When you analyze Defiance charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Defiance Daily Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 10th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Defiance Daily Target on the next trading day is expected to be 79.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.14, mean absolute percentage error of 27.25, and the sum of the absolute errors of 244.06.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Defiance Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Defiance Daily's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Defiance Daily Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Defiance Daily | Defiance Daily Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Defiance Daily Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Defiance Daily's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Defiance Daily's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 71.25 and 86.80, respectively. We have considered Defiance Daily's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Defiance Daily etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Defiance Daily etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.7398 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -1.2232 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 4.1366 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0661 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 244.06 |
Predictive Modules for Defiance Daily
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Defiance Daily Target. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Defiance Daily's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Defiance Daily
For every potential investor in Defiance, whether a beginner or expert, Defiance Daily's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Defiance Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Defiance. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Defiance Daily's price trends.Defiance Daily Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Defiance Daily etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Defiance Daily could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Defiance Daily by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Defiance Daily Target Technical and Predictive Analytics
The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Defiance Daily's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Defiance Daily's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Defiance Daily Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Defiance Daily etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Defiance Daily shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Defiance Daily etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Defiance Daily Target entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Defiance Daily Risk Indicators
The analysis of Defiance Daily's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Defiance Daily's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting defiance etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 6.64 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 6.0 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.86 | |||
| Variance | 61.78 | |||
| Downside Variance | 40.91 | |||
| Semi Variance | 36.04 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (8.20) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Thematic Opportunities
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Defiance Daily to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
The market value of Defiance Daily Target is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Defiance that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Defiance Daily's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Defiance Daily's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Defiance Daily's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Defiance Daily's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Defiance Daily's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Defiance Daily is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Defiance Daily's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.