So Martinho Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

So Martinho Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine SMTO3 price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SMTO3 using various technical indicators. When you analyze SMTO3 charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. So Martinho simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for So Martinho SA are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as So Martinho SA prices get older.

So Martinho Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 22nd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of So Martinho SA on the next trading day is expected to be 16.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35, mean absolute percentage error of 0.26, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.92.

So Martinho Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest So Martinho

So Martinho Price Prediction

Research Analysis

So Martinho Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of So Martinho stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent So Martinho stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting So Martinho SA forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent So Martinho observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for So Martinho

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as So Martinho SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 12.50 16.09 19.68 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 9.38 12.97 16.56 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 6.81 15.68 24.55 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as So Martinho. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against So Martinho's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, So Martinho's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in So Martinho SA.

So Martinho After-Hype Price Density Analysis

So Martinho Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

So Martinho Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

So Martinho Hype Timeline

So Martinho SA is at this time traded for 16.09on Sao Paulo Exchange of Brazil. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. SMTO3 is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.39%. %. The volatility of related hype on So Martinho is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.09. About 54.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.5. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. So Martinho SA has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.18. The entity last dividend was issued on the 16th of December 2022. The firm had 3:1 split on the 12th of December 2016. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of So Martinho to cross-verify your projections.

So Martinho Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for So Martinho

For every potential investor in SMTO3, whether a beginner or expert, So Martinho's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SMTO3 Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SMTO3. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying So Martinho's price trends.

So Martinho Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

So Martinho Market Strength Events

So Martinho Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for So Martinho

Other Macroaxis Stories

So Martinho Short Properties

Additional Tools for SMTO3 Stock Analysis