SharkNinja Stock Forward View - 4 Period Moving Average

SN Stock

USD 114.80 0.15 0.13%

4 Period Moving Average is applied to SharkNinja's daily closing prices, and the resulting forecast is presented with accuracy metrics. Wide deviation between fitted and observed values suggests the model's assumptions may not match current market conditions. These values update automatically with each new closing price. The 4 Period Moving Average model projects SharkNinja at 114.94 for the next trading day, above the most recent closing price. This 4 Period Moving Average output is provided as analytical reference and does not constitute a trading recommendation.

The four-period moving average forecast for SharkNinja replaces each daily value with the mean of that value and the four preceding closing prices. This smoothing window is wide enough to dampen short-term noise while still responding to recent price shifts in SharkNinja.

4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 6th of May

Over a 90-day horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average model forecasts SharkNinja at 114.94 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 3.45 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.03 , and sum of absolute errors of 196.47 .

This represents a tight forecast with good short-term tracking of SharkNinja's price movement. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.

Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest SharkNinja

SharkNinja Price Prediction

Research Analysis

Forecasted Value

This forecast for SharkNinja frames the expected trading range using downside and upside bounds rather than a single point target. The projected band runs from roughly 111.91 on the downside to about 117.98 on the upside. The moderate spread reflects defined uncertainty around the forecast.

Market Value

114.80

111.91

Downside

114.94

Expected Value

117.98

Upside

Target Odds

Above Odds

Below Odds

Model Predictive Factors

The table below summarizes the 4 Period Moving Average model's error metrics for SharkNinja stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.

AIC	Akaike Information Criteria	113.7093
Bias	Arithmetic mean of the errors	0.2831
MAD	Mean absolute deviation	3.4469
MAPE	Mean absolute percentage error	0.0306
SAE	Sum of the absolute errors	196.4725

The model is suited for higher-volatility price series where a two-period average would be too reactive. It does not extrapolate a trend equation, so its forecasting utility is limited to one or two periods ahead. Tighter error metrics (lower MAD/MAPE) indicate that SharkNinja price movement is well-captured by this smoothing window.

Other Forecasting Options for SharkNinja

SharkNinja's daily price returns decompose into trend, seasonal, and residual components. Divergence between short-term and long-term averages in SharkNinja often signals an upcoming reversal or acceleration. Gap analysis of SharkNinja Stock data examines overnight jumps between SharkNinja's closing and opening prices.

SharkNinja Related Equities

Checking SharkNinja against related firms within the Consumer Discretionary space reveals where the stock stands among peers. Profit comparisons show whether SharkNinja earns above or below average returns next to its peers. A stock that beats its peers on many metrics often deserves a closer look from value-focused investors.

Deckers Outdoor Service International Huazhu Group Ball Corporation Crown Holdings On Holding Texas Roadhouse Wynn Resorts Limited Toll Brothers Hyatt Hotels American Airlines Group Alcoa Corp Apple Inc Best Buy Co Citigroup

Risk & Return

Correlation

SharkNinja Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators for SharkNinja stock provide a framework for assessing security responsiveness. A rising Accumulation/Distribution line alongside rising price confirms institutional buying interest in SharkNinja. Median and Typical Price smooth out intraday extremes, providing a cleaner reference level for evaluating SharkNinja sessions.

	Accumulation Distribution	0.0335
	Daily Balance Of Power	0.0385
	Rate Of Daily Change	1.0
	Day Median Price	114.47
	Day Typical Price	114.58
	Market Facilitation Index	3.9
	Price Action Indicator	0.4
	Period Momentum Indicator	0.15
	Relative Strength Index	51.36

SharkNinja Risk Indicators

Assessing SharkNinja's risk indicators is a structured way to evaluate the risk-return trade-off for sharkninja stock. The level of risk embedded in SharkNinja's feeds directly into exposure calibration. Comparing SharkNinja's downside variance to total variance reveals whether the risk profile is skewed toward losses.

	Mean Deviation	2.28
	Standard Deviation	2.99
	Variance	8.96

Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

SharkNinja Short Properties

Short-interest data for SharkNinja reveals whether bearish conviction in the market is gaining traction. The practical goal is to identify when the balance between long and short participation may be changing the quality of the setup.

	Common Stock Shares Outstanding	142.09 million
	Cash And Short Term Investments	777.29 million

	Naive Prediction
	Simple Exponential Smoothing
	Double Exponential Smoothing
	Triple Exponential Smoothing
	Simple Regression
	Polynomial Regression
	Simple Moving Average
	4 Period Moving Average
	8 Period Moving Average
	20 Period Moving Average