The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sona Nanotech on the next trading day is expected to be 0.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.35. Sona OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Sona Nanotech's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Sona
A naive forecasting model for Sona Nanotech is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Sona Nanotech value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.
Sona Nanotech Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sona Nanotech on the next trading day is expected to be 0.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000053, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.35.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sona OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sona Nanotech's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
In the context of forecasting Sona Nanotech's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sona Nanotech's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 4.88, respectively. We have considered Sona Nanotech's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sona Nanotech otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sona Nanotech otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AIC
Akaike Information Criteria
108.2602
Bias
Arithmetic mean of the errors
None
MAD
Mean absolute deviation
0.0058
MAPE
Mean absolute percentage error
0.0311
SAE
Sum of the absolute errors
0.3533
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Sona Nanotech. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Sona Nanotech. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.
Predictive Modules for Sona Nanotech
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sona Nanotech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
For every potential investor in Sona, whether a beginner or expert, Sona Nanotech's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sona OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sona. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sona Nanotech's price trends.
The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Sona Nanotech's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Sona Nanotech's current price.
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sona Nanotech otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sona Nanotech shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sona Nanotech otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sona Nanotech entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
The analysis of Sona Nanotech's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sona Nanotech's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sona otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Sona Nanotech financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sona OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sona with respect to the benefits of owning Sona Nanotech security.