Sandisk Corp Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| SNDK Stock | 473.83 29.61 5.88% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sandisk Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 507.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 15.58 and the sum of the absolute errors of 950.48. Sandisk Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Sandisk Corp's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Sandisk Corp's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Sandisk Corp fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of Sandisk Corp's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.48) | EPS Estimate Current Year 13.6461 | EPS Estimate Next Year 24.2873 | Wall Street Target Price 368.25 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.226 |
Using Sandisk Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sandisk Corp from the perspective of Sandisk Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Sandisk Corp using Sandisk Corp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Sandisk using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Sandisk Corp's stock price.
Sandisk Corp Short Interest
An investor who is long Sandisk Corp may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Sandisk Corp and may potentially protect profits, hedge Sandisk Corp with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 120.874 | Short Percent 0.0945 | Short Ratio 1.1 | Shares Short Prior Month 6.9 M | 50 Day MA 274.6294 |
Sandisk Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Sandisk Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Sandisk. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Sandisk can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Sandisk Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Sandisk Corp Implied Volatility | 1.03 |
Sandisk Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Sandisk Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Sandisk Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Sandisk Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Sandisk Corp's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sandisk Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 507.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 15.58 and the sum of the absolute errors of 950.48. Sandisk Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 472.61 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sandisk Corp to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Sandisk contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Sandisk Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0644% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Sandisk Corp trading at USD 473.83, that is roughly USD 0.31 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Sandisk Corp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Sandisk Corp options at the current volatility level of 1.03%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Sandisk Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Sandisk Corp's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Sandisk Corp's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Sandisk Corp stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Sandisk Corp's open interest, investors have to compare it to Sandisk Corp's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Sandisk Corp is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Sandisk. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Sandisk Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sandisk price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sandisk using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sandisk charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Sandisk Corp Cash Forecast
To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the Sandisk Corp's financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 1.7 B | Current Value 1.8 B | Quarterly Volatility 576 M |
Sandisk Corp Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sandisk Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 507.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 15.58, mean absolute percentage error of 380.50, and the sum of the absolute errors of 950.48.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sandisk Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sandisk Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Sandisk Corp Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Sandisk Corp | Sandisk Corp Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Sandisk Corp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Sandisk Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sandisk Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 499.40 and 514.98, respectively. We have considered Sandisk Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sandisk Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sandisk Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 124.052 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 15.5817 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0596 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 950.4811 |
Predictive Modules for Sandisk Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sandisk Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sandisk Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Sandisk Corp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Sandisk Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sandisk Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sandisk Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Sandisk Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Sandisk Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sandisk Corp's historical news coverage. Sandisk Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 464.82 and 480.40, respectively. We have considered Sandisk Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Sandisk Corp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sandisk Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Sandisk Corp Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sandisk Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sandisk Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sandisk Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.90 | 7.79 | 22.74 | 0.21 | 7 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
473.83 | 472.61 | 0.26 |
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Sandisk Corp Hype Timeline
Sandisk Corp is at this time traded for 473.83. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -22.74, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.21. Sandisk is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 472.61. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 65.08%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.26%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 1.9%. The volatility of related hype on Sandisk Corp is about 6955.36%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 473.62. About 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded a loss per share of 12.04. Sandisk Corp last dividend was issued on the July 30, 2015. The entity had 2:1 split on the February 19, 2004. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sandisk Corp to cross-verify your projections.Sandisk Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Sandisk Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sandisk Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Sandisk Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sandisk Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KEYS | Keysight Technologies | 2.77 | 12 per month | 1.33 | 0.16 | 2.87 | (2.83) | 13.11 | |
| TDY | Teledyne Technologies Incorporated | 11.22 | 9 per month | 1.51 | 0.02 | 2.15 | (2.03) | 9.84 | |
| SMCI | Super Micro Computer | 2.92 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 5.77 | (6.60) | 18.12 | |
| FLEX | Flex | (1.20) | 10 per month | 2.59 | (0.01) | 5.23 | (4.13) | 12.35 | |
| JBL | Jabil Circuit | 1.34 | 11 per month | 2.52 | 0.09 | 4.27 | (5.03) | 12.48 | |
| TER | Teradyne | (8.46) | 8 per month | 2.28 | 0.20 | 6.80 | (4.05) | 27.80 | |
| HPE | Hewlett Packard Enterprise | (0.47) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.85 | (4.17) | 9.92 | |
| CRDO | Credo Technology Group | (2.66) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 10.04 | (7.23) | 23.45 | |
| MDB | MongoDB | (6.54) | 8 per month | 2.31 | 0.08 | 3.57 | (3.90) | 28.38 | |
| WIT | Wipro Limited ADR | (0.04) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.28 | (2.05) | 14.40 |
Other Forecasting Options for Sandisk Corp
For every potential investor in Sandisk, whether a beginner or expert, Sandisk Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sandisk Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sandisk. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sandisk Corp's price trends.Sandisk Corp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sandisk Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sandisk Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sandisk Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Sandisk Corp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sandisk Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sandisk Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sandisk Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sandisk Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0855 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.68) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.94 | |||
| Day Median Price | 484.66 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 481.05 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 43.29 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (25.63) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (29.61) |
Sandisk Corp Risk Indicators
The analysis of Sandisk Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sandisk Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sandisk stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.77 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.43 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.83 | |||
| Variance | 61.37 | |||
| Downside Variance | 44.45 | |||
| Semi Variance | 29.46 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (6.81) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Sandisk Corp
The number of cover stories for Sandisk Corp depends on current market conditions and Sandisk Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sandisk Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sandisk Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Sandisk Corp Short Properties
Sandisk Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sandisk Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sandisk Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sandisk Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sandisk Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 145 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.5 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sandisk Corp to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Sandisk Stock please use our How to buy in Sandisk Stock guide.You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.
Is Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sandisk Corp. If investors know Sandisk will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sandisk Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.48) | Earnings Share (12.04) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.226 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Sandisk Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sandisk that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sandisk Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sandisk Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sandisk Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sandisk Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sandisk Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sandisk Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sandisk Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.