Diversified Healthcare Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

SNF Stock  EUR 2.07  0.04  1.97%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Diversified Healthcare Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 2.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.60. Diversified Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Diversified Healthcare's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Diversified Healthcare is based on an artificially constructed time series of Diversified Healthcare daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Diversified Healthcare 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 11th of January 2025

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Diversified Healthcare Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 2.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.60.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Diversified Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Diversified Healthcare's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Diversified Healthcare Stock Forecast Pattern

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Diversified Healthcare Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Diversified Healthcare's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Diversified Healthcare's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 6.08, respectively. We have considered Diversified Healthcare's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.07
2.11
Expected Value
6.08
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Diversified Healthcare stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Diversified Healthcare stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria100.3242
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1028
MADMean absolute deviation0.1434
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0594
SAESum of the absolute errors7.5988
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Diversified Healthcare Trust 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Diversified Healthcare

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Diversified Healthcare. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.102.086.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.102.026.01
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Diversified Healthcare

For every potential investor in Diversified, whether a beginner or expert, Diversified Healthcare's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Diversified Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Diversified. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Diversified Healthcare's price trends.

Diversified Healthcare Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Diversified Healthcare stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Diversified Healthcare could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Diversified Healthcare by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Diversified Healthcare Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Diversified Healthcare's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Diversified Healthcare's current price.

Diversified Healthcare Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Diversified Healthcare stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Diversified Healthcare shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Diversified Healthcare stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Diversified Healthcare Trust entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Diversified Healthcare Risk Indicators

The analysis of Diversified Healthcare's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Diversified Healthcare's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting diversified stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Diversified Stock

When determining whether Diversified Healthcare is a strong investment it is important to analyze Diversified Healthcare's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Diversified Healthcare's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Diversified Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Diversified Healthcare to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Diversified Healthcare's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Diversified Healthcare is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Diversified Healthcare's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.