Smith Nephew Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| SNN Stock | USD 33.31 0.23 0.70% |
Smith Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Smith Nephew's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Smith Nephew's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Smith Nephew fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Smith Nephew's share price is approaching 48. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Smith Nephew, making its price go up or down. Momentum 48
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.359 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.6152 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.8066 | Wall Street Target Price 36.422 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.047 |
Using Smith Nephew hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Smith Nephew SNATS from the perspective of Smith Nephew response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Smith Nephew using Smith Nephew's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Smith using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Smith Nephew's stock price.
Smith Nephew Short Interest
An investor who is long Smith Nephew may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Smith Nephew and may potentially protect profits, hedge Smith Nephew with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 32.5467 | Short Percent 0.0073 | Short Ratio 5.85 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.4 M | 50 Day MA 32.957 |
Smith Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Smith Nephew SNATS on the next trading day is expected to be 33.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.36.Smith Nephew SNATS Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Smith Nephew's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Smith. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Smith can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Smith Nephew SNATS. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Smith Nephew's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Smith Nephew.
Smith Nephew Implied Volatility | 0.93 |
Smith Nephew's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Smith Nephew SNATS stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Smith Nephew's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Smith Nephew stock will not fluctuate a lot when Smith Nephew's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Smith Nephew SNATS on the next trading day is expected to be 33.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.36. Smith Nephew after-hype prediction price | USD 33.3 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Smith Nephew to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Smith contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Smith Nephew SNATS will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0581% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Smith Nephew trading at USD 33.31, that is roughly USD 0.0194 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Smith Nephew's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Smith Nephew SNATS options at the current volatility level of 0.93%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Smith Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Smith Nephew's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Smith Nephew's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Smith Nephew stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Smith Nephew's open interest, investors have to compare it to Smith Nephew's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Smith Nephew is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Smith. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Smith Nephew Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Smith price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Smith using various technical indicators. When you analyze Smith charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Smith Nephew Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Smith Nephew SNATS on the next trading day is expected to be 33.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45, mean absolute percentage error of 0.57, and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.36.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Smith Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Smith Nephew's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Smith Nephew Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Smith Nephew | Smith Nephew Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Smith Nephew Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Smith Nephew's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Smith Nephew's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 31.26 and 35.36, respectively. We have considered Smith Nephew's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Smith Nephew stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Smith Nephew stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.8719 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0626 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4469 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0135 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 26.365 |
Predictive Modules for Smith Nephew
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Smith Nephew SNATS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Smith Nephew After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Smith Nephew at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Smith Nephew or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Smith Nephew, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Smith Nephew Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Smith Nephew's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Smith Nephew's historical news coverage. Smith Nephew's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 31.25 and 35.35, respectively. We have considered Smith Nephew's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Smith Nephew is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Smith Nephew SNATS is based on 3 months time horizon.
Smith Nephew Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Smith Nephew is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Smith Nephew backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Smith Nephew, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 2.05 | 0.01 | 0.21 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
33.31 | 33.30 | 0.03 |
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Smith Nephew Hype Timeline
On the 26th of January Smith Nephew SNATS is traded for 33.31. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.21. Smith is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 33.3. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.13%. The volatility of related hype on Smith Nephew is about 129.5%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 33.10. The book value of the company was at this time reported as 6.33. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.65. Smith Nephew SNATS last dividend was issued on the 3rd of October 2025. The entity had 2499:1000 split on the 15th of October 2014. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Smith Nephew to cross-verify your projections.Smith Nephew Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Smith Nephew's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Smith Nephew's future price movements. Getting to know how Smith Nephew's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Smith Nephew may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HOLX | Hologic | (0.01) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 0.39 | (0.20) | 3.43 | |
| ZBH | Zimmer Biomet Holdings | (1.35) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.92 | (2.20) | 18.45 | |
| FMS | Fresenius Medical Care | (0.13) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 3.00 | (3.83) | 10.14 | |
| MEDP | Medpace Holdings | (11.55) | 10 per month | 1.57 | 0.03 | 3.06 | (2.33) | 14.62 | |
| RPRX | Royalty Pharma Plc | 0.97 | 14 per month | 1.47 | 0.06 | 2.13 | (2.28) | 12.26 | |
| TEM | Tempus AI Class | 0.77 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 5.61 | (5.05) | 16.51 | |
| COO | The Cooper Companies | 1.18 | 9 per month | 1.18 | 0.03 | 2.84 | (2.03) | 10.26 | |
| CNC | Centene Corp | (0.46) | 9 per month | 2.47 | 0.12 | 4.67 | (3.69) | 21.32 | |
| THC | Tenet Healthcare | (5.05) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.14 | (3.00) | 14.80 | |
| NBIX | Neurocrine Biosciences | (0.20) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.43 | (3.45) | 12.11 |
Other Forecasting Options for Smith Nephew
For every potential investor in Smith, whether a beginner or expert, Smith Nephew's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Smith Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Smith. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Smith Nephew's price trends.Smith Nephew Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Smith Nephew stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Smith Nephew could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Smith Nephew by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Smith Nephew Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Smith Nephew stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Smith Nephew shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Smith Nephew stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Smith Nephew SNATS entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Smith Nephew Risk Indicators
The analysis of Smith Nephew's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Smith Nephew's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting smith stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.19 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.01 | |||
| Variance | 4.04 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Smith Nephew
The number of cover stories for Smith Nephew depends on current market conditions and Smith Nephew's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Smith Nephew is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Smith Nephew's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Smith Nephew Short Properties
Smith Nephew's future price predictability will typically decrease when Smith Nephew's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Smith Nephew SNATS often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Smith Nephew's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Smith Nephew's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 438.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 619 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Smith Nephew to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Smith Nephew. If investors know Smith will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Smith Nephew listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.359 | Dividend Share 0.381 | Earnings Share 1.12 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.047 |
The market value of Smith Nephew SNATS is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Smith that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Smith Nephew's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Smith Nephew's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Smith Nephew's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Smith Nephew's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Smith Nephew's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Smith Nephew is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Smith Nephew's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.