PPX Mining Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

SNNGF Stock  USD 0.22  0.02  10.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of PPX Mining Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.08. PPX Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of PPX Mining's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for PPX Mining is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of PPX Mining Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

PPX Mining Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of PPX Mining Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0006, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.08.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PPX Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PPX Mining's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

PPX Mining Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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PPX Mining Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting PPX Mining's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PPX Mining's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 13.60, respectively. We have considered PPX Mining's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.22
0.20
Expected Value
13.60
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PPX Mining pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PPX Mining pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.6911
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0177
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0779
SAESum of the absolute errors1.0786
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of PPX Mining Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict PPX Mining. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for PPX Mining

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PPX Mining Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.2213.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.2413.63
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as PPX Mining. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against PPX Mining's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, PPX Mining's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in PPX Mining Corp.

Other Forecasting Options for PPX Mining

For every potential investor in PPX, whether a beginner or expert, PPX Mining's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PPX Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PPX. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PPX Mining's price trends.

PPX Mining Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PPX Mining pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PPX Mining could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PPX Mining by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

PPX Mining Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of PPX Mining's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of PPX Mining's current price.

PPX Mining Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PPX Mining pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PPX Mining shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PPX Mining pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify PPX Mining Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

PPX Mining Risk Indicators

The analysis of PPX Mining's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PPX Mining's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ppx pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in PPX Pink Sheet

PPX Mining financial ratios help investors to determine whether PPX Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in PPX with respect to the benefits of owning PPX Mining security.