Snowflake Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

SNOW Stock  USD 219.09  4.70  2.10%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Snowflake on the next trading day is expected to be 219.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.47 and the sum of the absolute errors of 272.56. Snowflake Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength indicator of Snowflake's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Snowflake's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Snowflake and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Snowflake's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Snowflake, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Snowflake's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.2144
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.6329
Wall Street Target Price
283.5219
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.3112
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.287
Using Snowflake hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Snowflake from the perspective of Snowflake response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Snowflake using Snowflake's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Snowflake using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Snowflake's stock price.

Snowflake Short Interest

An investor who is long Snowflake may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Snowflake and may potentially protect profits, hedge Snowflake with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
212.1141
Short Percent
0.0366
Short Ratio
1.9
Shares Short Prior Month
12.1 M
50 Day MA
242.9732

Snowflake Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Snowflake's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Snowflake. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Snowflake can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Snowflake. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Snowflake's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Snowflake.

Snowflake Implied Volatility

    
  0.48  
Snowflake's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Snowflake stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Snowflake's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Snowflake stock will not fluctuate a lot when Snowflake's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Snowflake on the next trading day is expected to be 219.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.47 and the sum of the absolute errors of 272.56.

Snowflake after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 219.09  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Snowflake to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Snowflake Stock please use our How to Invest in Snowflake guide.Payables Turnover is likely to drop to 7.82 in 2026. Receivables Turnover is likely to drop to 1.94 in 2026. Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 299.7 M in 2026. Net Loss is likely to climb to about (1.1 B) in 2026.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Snowflake Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Snowflake's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Snowflake's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Snowflake stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Snowflake's open interest, investors have to compare it to Snowflake's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Snowflake is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Snowflake. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Snowflake Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Snowflake price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Snowflake using various technical indicators. When you analyze Snowflake charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Snowflake simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Snowflake are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Snowflake prices get older.

Snowflake Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 11th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Snowflake on the next trading day is expected to be 219.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.47, mean absolute percentage error of 41.54, and the sum of the absolute errors of 272.56.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Snowflake Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Snowflake's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Snowflake Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest SnowflakeSnowflake Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Snowflake Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Snowflake's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Snowflake's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 216.50 and 221.68, respectively. We have considered Snowflake's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
219.09
216.50
Downside
219.09
Expected Value
221.68
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Snowflake stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Snowflake stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.8371
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.3564
MADMean absolute deviation4.4682
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0186
SAESum of the absolute errors272.56
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Snowflake forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Snowflake observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Snowflake

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Snowflake. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
216.50219.09221.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
203.35205.94241.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
203.27231.43259.59
Details
50 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
258.00283.52314.71
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Snowflake

For every potential investor in Snowflake, whether a beginner or expert, Snowflake's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Snowflake Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Snowflake. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Snowflake's price trends.

Snowflake Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Snowflake stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Snowflake could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Snowflake by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Snowflake Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Snowflake's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Snowflake's current price.

Snowflake Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Snowflake stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Snowflake shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Snowflake stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Snowflake entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Snowflake Risk Indicators

The analysis of Snowflake's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Snowflake's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting snowflake stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Snowflake Stock Analysis

When running Snowflake's price analysis, check to measure Snowflake's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Snowflake is operating at the current time. Most of Snowflake's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Snowflake's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Snowflake's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Snowflake to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.