Sunrise Communications Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

Sunrise Communications Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Sunrise price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sunrise using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sunrise charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for Sunrise Communications is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Sunrise Communications AG value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Sunrise Communications Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 8th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sunrise Communications AG on the next trading day is expected to be 58.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.86, mean absolute percentage error of 1.27, and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.54.

Sunrise Communications Stock Forecast Pattern

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Sunrise Communications Price Prediction

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sunrise Communications stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sunrise Communications stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Sunrise Communications AG. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Sunrise Communications. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Sunrise Communications

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sunrise Communications. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 57.69 58.52 59.35 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 48.76 49.59 64.27 Details

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Consideration for investing in Sunrise Stock