Sensei Biotherapeutics Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| SNSE Stock | USD 9.50 0.16 1.66% |
Sensei Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Sensei Biotherapeutics stock prices and determine the direction of Sensei Biotherapeutics's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Sensei Biotherapeutics' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the RSI of Sensei Biotherapeutics' share price is approaching 48. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Sensei Biotherapeutics, making its price go up or down. Momentum 48
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (4.81) | EPS Estimate Current Year (18.17) | EPS Estimate Next Year (15.05) | Wall Street Target Price 32.5 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (4.11) |
Using Sensei Biotherapeutics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sensei Biotherapeutics from the perspective of Sensei Biotherapeutics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Sensei Biotherapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 10.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.75 and the sum of the absolute errors of 45.76. Sensei Biotherapeutics after-hype prediction price | USD 9.55 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sensei Biotherapeutics to cross-verify your projections. Sensei Biotherapeutics Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sensei price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sensei using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sensei charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Sensei Biotherapeutics Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Sensei Biotherapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 10.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.75, mean absolute percentage error of 0.78, and the sum of the absolute errors of 45.76.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sensei Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sensei Biotherapeutics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Sensei Biotherapeutics Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Sensei Biotherapeutics | Sensei Biotherapeutics Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Sensei Biotherapeutics Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Sensei Biotherapeutics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sensei Biotherapeutics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.07 and 17.95, respectively. We have considered Sensei Biotherapeutics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sensei Biotherapeutics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sensei Biotherapeutics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.856 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7502 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0783 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 45.7594 |
Predictive Modules for Sensei Biotherapeutics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sensei Biotherapeutics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sensei Biotherapeutics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Sensei Biotherapeutics After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Sensei Biotherapeutics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sensei Biotherapeutics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sensei Biotherapeutics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Sensei Biotherapeutics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Sensei Biotherapeutics' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sensei Biotherapeutics' historical news coverage. Sensei Biotherapeutics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.11 and 16.99, respectively. We have considered Sensei Biotherapeutics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Sensei Biotherapeutics is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sensei Biotherapeutics is based on 3 months time horizon.
Sensei Biotherapeutics Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sensei Biotherapeutics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sensei Biotherapeutics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sensei Biotherapeutics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.42 | 7.44 | 0.05 | 0.01 | 7 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
9.50 | 9.55 | 0.53 |
|
Sensei Biotherapeutics Hype Timeline
Sensei Biotherapeutics is at this time traded for 9.50. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Sensei is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 9.55 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.53%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.42%. The volatility of related hype on Sensei Biotherapeutics is about 27555.56%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.51. Net Loss for the year was (30.16 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sensei Biotherapeutics to cross-verify your projections.Sensei Biotherapeutics Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Sensei Biotherapeutics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sensei Biotherapeutics' future price movements. Getting to know how Sensei Biotherapeutics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sensei Biotherapeutics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IMNN | Imunon Inc | (0.13) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 6.74 | (6.59) | 21.83 | |
| BOLT | Bolt Biotherapeutics | (0.07) | 9 per month | 4.05 | 0.03 | 8.22 | (7.17) | 18.19 | |
| EVGN | Evogene | 0.01 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.77 | (5.22) | 21.65 | |
| COCP | Cocrystal Pharma | 0.25 | 15 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 6.67 | (6.36) | 15.98 | |
| DWTX | Dogwood Therapeutics | 0.42 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 7.78 | (11.30) | 33.43 | |
| MRKR | Marker Therapeutics | (0.05) | 10 per month | 5.11 | 0.13 | 12.79 | (8.63) | 28.69 | |
| CLRB | Cellectar Biosciences | 0.23 | 9 per month | 5.69 | (0) | 7.66 | (7.80) | 30.55 | |
| AEON | AEON Biopharma | (0.05) | 8 per month | 5.39 | 0.08 | 10.34 | (8.54) | 33.74 | |
| CING | Cingulate | 0.07 | 7 per month | 4.36 | 0.15 | 7.46 | (6.75) | 20.08 | |
| TRAW | Traws Pharma | (0.41) | 23 per month | 8.83 | 0.02 | 17.70 | (12.90) | 58.96 |
Other Forecasting Options for Sensei Biotherapeutics
For every potential investor in Sensei, whether a beginner or expert, Sensei Biotherapeutics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sensei Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sensei. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sensei Biotherapeutics' price trends.Sensei Biotherapeutics Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sensei Biotherapeutics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sensei Biotherapeutics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sensei Biotherapeutics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Sensei Biotherapeutics Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sensei Biotherapeutics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sensei Biotherapeutics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sensei Biotherapeutics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sensei Biotherapeutics entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Sensei Biotherapeutics Risk Indicators
The analysis of Sensei Biotherapeutics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sensei Biotherapeutics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sensei stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.27 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.88 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.31 | |||
| Variance | 53.4 | |||
| Downside Variance | 35.74 | |||
| Semi Variance | 34.62 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (6.37) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Sensei Biotherapeutics
The number of cover stories for Sensei Biotherapeutics depends on current market conditions and Sensei Biotherapeutics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sensei Biotherapeutics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sensei Biotherapeutics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Sensei Biotherapeutics Short Properties
Sensei Biotherapeutics' future price predictability will typically decrease when Sensei Biotherapeutics' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sensei Biotherapeutics often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sensei Biotherapeutics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sensei Biotherapeutics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 25.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 41.3 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sensei Biotherapeutics to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Sensei Stock refer to our How to Trade Sensei Stock guide.You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Will Biotechnology sector continue expanding? Could Sensei diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sensei Biotherapeutics. If investors know Sensei will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Sensei Biotherapeutics data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Investors evaluate Sensei Biotherapeutics using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Sensei Biotherapeutics' intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Sensei Biotherapeutics' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sensei Biotherapeutics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sensei Biotherapeutics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Sensei Biotherapeutics' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.