Senstar Technologies Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

SNT Stock  USD 4.56  0.27  5.59%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Senstar Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 4.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.40. Senstar Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Senstar Technologies' share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Senstar Technologies' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Senstar Technologies, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Senstar Technologies' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.364
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.162
Using Senstar Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Senstar Technologies from the perspective of Senstar Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Senstar Technologies Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Senstar Technologies' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Senstar. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Senstar can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Senstar Technologies. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Senstar Technologies' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Senstar Technologies.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Senstar Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 4.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.40.

Senstar Technologies after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 4.77  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Senstar Technologies to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Senstar Stock please use our How to Invest in Senstar Technologies guide.At this time, Senstar Technologies' Inventory Turnover is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Payables Turnover is likely to gain to 6.01 in 2026, whereas Receivables Turnover is likely to drop 2.33 in 2026. . Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to gain to about 3.6 M in 2026, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop slightly above 15.5 M in 2026.

Senstar Technologies Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Senstar price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Senstar using various technical indicators. When you analyze Senstar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Senstar Technologies' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1993-12-31
Previous Quarter
21.8 M
Current Value
21.5 M
Quarterly Volatility
12.9 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Senstar Technologies is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Senstar Technologies value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Senstar Technologies Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Senstar Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 4.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.40.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Senstar Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Senstar Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Senstar Technologies Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Senstar TechnologiesSenstar Technologies Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Senstar Technologies Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Senstar Technologies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Senstar Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.05 and 10.20, respectively. We have considered Senstar Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
4.56
4.99
Expected Value
10.20
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Senstar Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Senstar Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.1738
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1869
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.045
SAESum of the absolute errors11.3988
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Senstar Technologies. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Senstar Technologies. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Senstar Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Senstar Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.244.779.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.193.738.89
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Senstar Technologies

For every potential investor in Senstar, whether a beginner or expert, Senstar Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Senstar Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Senstar. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Senstar Technologies' price trends.

Senstar Technologies Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Senstar Technologies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Senstar Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Senstar Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Senstar Technologies Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Senstar Technologies' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Senstar Technologies' current price.

Senstar Technologies Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Senstar Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Senstar Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Senstar Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Senstar Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Senstar Technologies Risk Indicators

The analysis of Senstar Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Senstar Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting senstar stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Senstar Stock Analysis

When running Senstar Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Senstar Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Senstar Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Senstar Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Senstar Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Senstar Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Senstar Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.