Savoy Energy Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| SNVP Stock | USD 0.0001 0.00 0.00% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Savoy Energy Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Savoy Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Savoy Energy's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Savoy Energy's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Savoy Energy fundamentals over time.
As of today the value of relative strength index of Savoy Energy's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.48) |
Using Savoy Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Savoy Energy Corp from the perspective of Savoy Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Savoy Energy Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Savoy Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 1.0E-4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Savoy Energy to cross-verify your projections. Savoy Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Savoy price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Savoy using various technical indicators. When you analyze Savoy charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Savoy Energy Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Savoy Energy Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Savoy Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Savoy Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Savoy Energy Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Savoy Energy | Savoy Energy Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Savoy Energy Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Savoy Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Savoy Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered Savoy Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Savoy Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Savoy Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 30.3989 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Savoy Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Savoy Energy Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Savoy Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Savoy Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Savoy Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Savoy Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Savoy Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Savoy Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Savoy Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Savoy Energy's historical news coverage. Savoy Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Savoy Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Savoy Energy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Savoy Energy Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Savoy Energy Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Savoy Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Savoy Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Savoy Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.00 |
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Savoy Energy Hype Timeline
Savoy Energy Corp is at this time traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Savoy is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Savoy Energy is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Savoy Energy Corp had 4:1 split on the 15th of June 2009. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Savoy Energy to cross-verify your projections.Savoy Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Savoy Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Savoy Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Savoy Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Savoy Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FRGY | Frontier Energy Corp | 0.00 | 5 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ERINQ | Erin Energy Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| WNWG | Wentworth Energy | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GMLPF | Golar LNG Partners | (0.16) | 2 per month | 16.33 | 0.13 | 50.00 | (38.00) | 126.43 | |
| BRZV | Fitvia Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 508.33 | |
| SCNG | Strattner Financial Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | |
| KALG | KAL Energy | 0.00 | 7 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CPYJ | Custom Designed Compressor | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| OOAG | OMDA Oil and | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | |
| TRSI | Trophy Resources | (0.0006) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 18.18 | (25.00) | 77.27 |
Other Forecasting Options for Savoy Energy
For every potential investor in Savoy, whether a beginner or expert, Savoy Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Savoy Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Savoy. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Savoy Energy's price trends.Savoy Energy Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Savoy Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Savoy Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Savoy Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Savoy Energy Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Savoy Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Savoy Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Savoy Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Savoy Energy Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.0E-4 |
Story Coverage note for Savoy Energy
The number of cover stories for Savoy Energy depends on current market conditions and Savoy Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Savoy Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Savoy Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Savoy Stock Analysis
When running Savoy Energy's price analysis, check to measure Savoy Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Savoy Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Savoy Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Savoy Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Savoy Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Savoy Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.