Sanwire Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average

SNWR Stock  USD 0.0004  0.0001  33.33%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Sanwire on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0004 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000028 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Sanwire Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Sanwire's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Sanwire's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Sanwire and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Sanwire's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Sanwire, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Sanwire hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sanwire from the perspective of Sanwire response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Sanwire on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0004 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000028 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.

Sanwire after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2.56E-4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sanwire to cross-verify your projections.

Sanwire Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Sanwire price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sanwire using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sanwire charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Sanwire is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Sanwire Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Sanwire on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0004 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000028, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sanwire Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sanwire's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sanwire Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest SanwireSanwire Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Sanwire Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Sanwire's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sanwire's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000004 and 16.74, respectively. We have considered Sanwire's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0004
0.000004
Downside
0.0004
Expected Value
16.74
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sanwire pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sanwire pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria94.5576
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0904
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0017
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Sanwire price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Sanwire. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Sanwire

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sanwire. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sanwire's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000316.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000316.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00030.00030.0003
Details

Sanwire After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Sanwire at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sanwire or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Sanwire, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Sanwire Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Sanwire's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sanwire's historical news coverage. Sanwire's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 16.74, respectively. We have considered Sanwire's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.0004
0.0003
After-hype Price
16.74
Upside
Sanwire is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sanwire is based on 3 months time horizon.

Sanwire Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sanwire is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sanwire backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sanwire, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.78 
16.74
 0.00  
  0.03 
0 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.0004
0.0003
35.97 
0.00  
Notes

Sanwire Hype Timeline

Sanwire is at this time traded for 0.0004. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.03. Sanwire is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 2.56E-4. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -35.97%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 1.78%. The volatility of related hype on Sanwire is about 98412.7%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -0.03. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.0. Sanwire had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:50 split on the 7th of March 2013. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sanwire to cross-verify your projections.

Sanwire Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Sanwire's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sanwire's future price movements. Getting to know how Sanwire's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sanwire may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
HOMUHoumu Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.19  100.00 (50.00) 200.00 
SAPXSeven Arts Entertainment(0.0001)2 per month 0.00  0.01  0.00  0.00  150.00 
CELXCelexpress 0.00 1 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
SVSNStereo Vision Entertainment 0.00 1 per month 0.00  0.05  0.00  0.00  150.00 
VIDAVidaroo Corp 0.00 3 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
NPNTQNorthPoint Communications Group 0.00 1 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CCCIChina Cable and 0.00 3 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
AMNNFAmcomri Entertainment(0.17)8 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CWTCClearwave Telecommunications 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.08  0.00  0.00  366.67 
RFIIRain Forest International 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Sanwire

For every potential investor in Sanwire, whether a beginner or expert, Sanwire's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sanwire Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sanwire. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sanwire's price trends.

Sanwire Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sanwire pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sanwire could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sanwire by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sanwire Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sanwire pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sanwire shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sanwire pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Sanwire entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sanwire Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sanwire's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sanwire's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sanwire pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Sanwire

The number of cover stories for Sanwire depends on current market conditions and Sanwire's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sanwire is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sanwire's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Additional Tools for Sanwire Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Sanwire's price analysis, check to measure Sanwire's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sanwire is operating at the current time. Most of Sanwire's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sanwire's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sanwire's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sanwire to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.