Synnex Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression

SNX Stock  USD 233.73  -0.20  -0.09%   
Polynomial Regression is applied to Synnex's daily closing prices, and the resulting forecast is presented with accuracy metrics. Wide deviation between fitted and observed values suggests the model's assumptions may not match current market conditions. These values update automatically with each new closing price. The Polynomial Regression model projects Synnex at 238.95 for the next trading day, above the most recent closing price. This Polynomial Regression output is provided as analytical reference and does not constitute a trading recommendation.
Polynomial regression for Synnex fits a curved line through historical price points using time as the independent variable. Unlike simple regression, which fits only a straight line, polynomial regression can capture nonlinear price trends including acceleration and deceleration.

Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 8th of May

Over a 90-day horizon, the Polynomial Regression model forecasts Synnex at 238.95 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 5.14 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.03 , and sum of absolute errors of 313.81 .
This represents a tight forecast with good short-term tracking of Synnex's price movement. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.

Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Synnex  Synnex Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Forecasted Value

The projected range for Synnex reflects the model's ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios for the next trading day. The projected band runs from roughly 236.59 on the downside to about 241.32 on the upside. The narrow range indicates limited short-term dispersion.
Market Value
233.73
236.59
238.95
Expected Value
241.32

Model Predictive Factors

The table below summarizes the Polynomial Regression model's error metrics for Synnex stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.75
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation5.1445
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0298
SAESum of the absolute errors313.8132
The model takes the form: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm. Higher-degree polynomials fit Synnex historical data more closely but are more prone to overfitting, which can produce unreliable extrapolations beyond the observed price range.

Other Forecasting Options for Synnex

Synnex's daily price returns decompose into trend, seasonal, and residual components. Divergence between short-term and long-term averages in Synnex often signals an upcoming reversal or acceleration. Gap analysis of Synnex Stock data examines overnight jumps between Synnex's closing and opening prices.

Synnex Related Equities

These related stocks within the Information Technology space give benchmarks for judging Synnex's results, margins, and growth trend. Looking at Synnex's pricing multiples next to these peers shows if the stock trades at a premium or discount.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Synnex Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators for Synnex stock provide a framework for assessing security responsiveness. A rising Accumulation/Distribution line alongside rising price confirms institutional buying interest in Synnex. Median and Typical Price smooth out intraday extremes, providing a cleaner reference level for evaluating Synnex sessions.

Synnex Risk Indicators

Assessing Synnex's risk indicators is a structured way to evaluate the risk-return trade-off for synnex stock. The level of risk embedded in Synnex's feeds directly into exposure calibration. Comparing Synnex's downside variance to total variance reveals whether the risk profile is skewed toward losses.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Synnex Short Properties

Reviewing short-oriented indicators for Synnex is useful because long and short participants often create very different signals for timing and volatility. A disciplined short-interest review can make timing decisions more informed under rising skepticism.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding82.43 million
Cash And Short Term Investments2.44 billion

More Resources for Synnex Stock Analysis

The foundation for reviewing Synnex is its financial reporting and trend data. These measures summarize how the business operates financially.