South Bow Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| SOBO Stock | 38.68 0.08 0.21% |
South Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although South Bow's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of South Bow's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of South Bow fundamentals over time.
The value of RSI of South Bow's stock price is about 60. This usually implies that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling South, making its price go up or down. Momentum 60
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.54 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.3864 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.7546 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.7266 | Wall Street Target Price 38.1366 |
Using South Bow hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of South Bow from the perspective of South Bow response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of South Bow on the next trading day is expected to be 38.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.87. South Bow after-hype prediction price | CAD 38.61 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
South |
South Bow Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine South price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for South using various technical indicators. When you analyze South charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
South Bow Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of South Bow on the next trading day is expected to be 38.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39, mean absolute percentage error of 0.26, and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.87.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict South Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that South Bow's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
South Bow Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest South Bow | South Bow Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
South Bow Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting South Bow's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. South Bow's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 37.32 and 40.04, respectively. We have considered South Bow's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of South Bow stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent South Bow stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.0817 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0771 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3876 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0104 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 22.87 |
Predictive Modules for South Bow
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as South Bow. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.South Bow After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of South Bow at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in South Bow or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of South Bow, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
South Bow Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting South Bow's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on South Bow's historical news coverage. South Bow's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 37.25 and 39.97, respectively. We have considered South Bow's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
South Bow is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of South Bow is based on 3 months time horizon.
South Bow Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as South Bow is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading South Bow backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with South Bow, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 1.36 | 0.07 | 0.16 | 8 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
38.68 | 38.61 | 0.18 |
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South Bow Hype Timeline
South Bow is at this time traded for 38.68on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.16. South is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 38.61. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.18%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.17%. The volatility of related hype on South Bow is about 148.47%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 38.84. About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of South Bow was at this time reported as 17.06. The company last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2025. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of South Bow to cross-verify your projections.South Bow Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to South Bow's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict South Bow's future price movements. Getting to know how South Bow's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how South Bow may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FTT | Finning International | (0.48) | 9 per month | 1.64 | 0.12 | 3.61 | (3.02) | 9.57 | |
| BBD-PB | Bombardier Pref B | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.91 | (0.03) | 0.97 | (0.84) | 5.74 | |
| GRGD | Groupe Dynamite | 0.17 | 1 per month | 3.41 | 0.01 | 6.97 | (6.39) | 14.51 | |
| BBD-B | Bombardier | 8.14 | 8 per month | 3.04 | 0.09 | 4.41 | (5.53) | 16.51 | |
| TFII | TFI International | 0.94 | 10 per month | 1.55 | 0.13 | 3.20 | (2.80) | 10.21 | |
| AC | Air Canada | 0.42 | 9 per month | 1.50 | 0.02 | 2.59 | (2.51) | 8.29 | |
| SES | Secure Energy Services | 0.06 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.68 | (3.17) | 8.07 | |
| MDA | MDA | (0.31) | 9 per month | 3.65 | 0.05 | 6.46 | (5.29) | 19.11 | |
| EIF | Exchange Income | 0.46 | 8 per month | 0.92 | 0.21 | 2.98 | (2.23) | 5.90 | |
| CAE | CAE Inc | (0.24) | 9 per month | 1.49 | 0.06 | 2.98 | (2.28) | 10.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for South Bow
For every potential investor in South, whether a beginner or expert, South Bow's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. South Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in South. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying South Bow's price trends.South Bow Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with South Bow stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of South Bow could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing South Bow by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
South Bow Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how South Bow stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading South Bow shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying South Bow stock market strength indicators, traders can identify South Bow entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
South Bow Risk Indicators
The analysis of South Bow's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in South Bow's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting south stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.01 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.22 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.34 | |||
| Variance | 1.8 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.81 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.48 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.06) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for South Bow
The number of cover stories for South Bow depends on current market conditions and South Bow's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that South Bow is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about South Bow's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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South Bow Short Properties
South Bow's future price predictability will typically decrease when South Bow's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of South Bow often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential South Bow's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. South Bow's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 208 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 397 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of South Bow to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in South Stock, please use our How to Invest in South Bow guide.You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.