Southern California OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| SOCGP Stock | USD 24.99 0.12 0.48% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Southern California Gas on the next trading day is expected to be 24.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.94. Southern OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the value of rsi of Southern California's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the otc stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Southern California hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Southern California Gas from the perspective of Southern California response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Southern California Gas on the next trading day is expected to be 24.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.94. Southern California after-hype prediction price | USD 0.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Southern |
Southern California Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Southern price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Southern using various technical indicators. When you analyze Southern charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Southern California Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Southern California Gas on the next trading day is expected to be 24.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20, mean absolute percentage error of 0.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.94.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Southern OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Southern California's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Southern California OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Southern California | Southern California Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Southern California Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Southern California's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Southern California's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 23.70 and 26.23, respectively. We have considered Southern California's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Southern California otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Southern California otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.5707 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0159 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1957 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0079 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 11.9393 |
Predictive Modules for Southern California
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Southern California Gas. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Southern California After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Southern California at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Southern California or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Southern California, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Southern California Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Southern California's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Southern California's historical news coverage. Southern California's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 1.27, respectively. We have considered Southern California's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Southern California is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Southern California Gas is based on 3 months time horizon.
Southern California OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Southern California is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Southern California backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Southern California, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 1.27 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 4 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
24.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
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Southern California Hype Timeline
Southern California Gas is at this time traded for 24.99. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Southern is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Southern California is about 306.02%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.01. The company last dividend was issued on the 15th of April 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Southern California to cross-verify your projections.Southern California Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Southern California's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Southern California's future price movements. Getting to know how Southern California's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Southern California may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RUBSF | Rubis | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TOIPY | Thai Oil PCL | 0.63 | 10 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| UNEGF | United Energy Group | 0.63 | 12 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 2.78 | 0.00 | 87.26 | |
| PRMRF | Paramount Resources | 0.63 | 12 per month | 1.84 | 0.06 | 2.86 | (3.27) | 7.61 | |
| EERGF | Energean plc | 0.50 | 2 per month | 1.25 | 0 | 4.94 | (2.40) | 11.49 | |
| NUVSF | NuVista Energy | 0.63 | 4 per month | 0.98 | 0.11 | 2.61 | (1.59) | 7.21 | |
| FDVWF | Friedrich Vorwerk Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 45.63 | |
| ATHOF | Athabasca Oil Corp | 0.63 | 10 per month | 1.99 | 0.08 | 4.37 | (3.17) | 12.36 | |
| HLPMF | Hellenic Petroleum SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.06 | 2.39 | 0.00 | 15.62 | |
| NHPEF | New Hope | 0.50 | 2 per month | 2.44 | 0.05 | 6.43 | (5.03) | 19.63 |
Other Forecasting Options for Southern California
For every potential investor in Southern, whether a beginner or expert, Southern California's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Southern OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Southern. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Southern California's price trends.Southern California Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Southern California otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Southern California could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Southern California by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Southern California Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Southern California otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Southern California shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Southern California otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Southern California Gas entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 24.99 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 24.99 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.06 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.12 |
Southern California Risk Indicators
The analysis of Southern California's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Southern California's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting southern otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.03 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.84 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.69 | |||
| Variance | 2.85 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.47 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.4 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.12) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Southern California
The number of cover stories for Southern California depends on current market conditions and Southern California's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Southern California is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Southern California's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Southern OTC Stock Analysis
When running Southern California's price analysis, check to measure Southern California's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Southern California is operating at the current time. Most of Southern California's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Southern California's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Southern California's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Southern California to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.