Oppmann Immobilien Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average

SOP Stock  EUR 0.65  0.04  5.80%   
Oppmann Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Oppmann Immobilien's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Oppmann Immobilien's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Oppmann Immobilien AG, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Oppmann Immobilien hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Oppmann Immobilien AG from the perspective of Oppmann Immobilien response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Oppmann Immobilien AG on the next trading day is expected to be 0.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.43.

Oppmann Immobilien after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 0.65  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Oppmann Immobilien to cross-verify your projections.

Oppmann Immobilien Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Oppmann price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Oppmann using various technical indicators. When you analyze Oppmann charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Oppmann Immobilien is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Oppmann Immobilien Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 9th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Oppmann Immobilien AG on the next trading day is expected to be 0.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.43.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Oppmann Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Oppmann Immobilien's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Oppmann Immobilien Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Oppmann Immobilien  Oppmann Immobilien Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Oppmann Immobilien Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Oppmann Immobilien's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Oppmann Immobilien's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 5.49, respectively. We have considered Oppmann Immobilien's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.65
0.65
Expected Value
5.49
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Oppmann Immobilien stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Oppmann Immobilien stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria107.9815
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0014
MADMean absolute deviation0.0242
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0332
SAESum of the absolute errors1.43
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Oppmann Immobilien AG price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Oppmann Immobilien. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Oppmann Immobilien

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oppmann Immobilien. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.655.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.585.42
Details

Oppmann Immobilien After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Oppmann Immobilien at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Oppmann Immobilien or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Oppmann Immobilien, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Oppmann Immobilien Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Oppmann Immobilien's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Oppmann Immobilien's historical news coverage. Oppmann Immobilien's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 5.49, respectively. We have considered Oppmann Immobilien's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.65
0.65
After-hype Price
5.49
Upside
Oppmann Immobilien is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Oppmann Immobilien is based on 3 months time horizon.

Oppmann Immobilien Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Oppmann Immobilien is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Oppmann Immobilien backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Oppmann Immobilien, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.03 
4.84
 0.00  
  0.08 
1 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.65
0.65
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Oppmann Immobilien Hype Timeline

Oppmann Immobilien is at this time traded for 0.65on Munich Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.08. Oppmann is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Oppmann Immobilien is about 178.14%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.73. The company last dividend was issued on the 11th of July 2019. Oppmann Immobilien had 1:2.5 split on the 23rd of February 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be very soon.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Oppmann Immobilien to cross-verify your projections.

Oppmann Immobilien Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Oppmann Immobilien's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Oppmann Immobilien's future price movements. Getting to know how Oppmann Immobilien's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Oppmann Immobilien may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
SK3Smurfit Kappa Group 0.00 3 per month 1.24 (0.03) 2.56 (2.50) 8.61 
SK3Smurfit Kappa Group(0.80)1 per month 1.49  0.09  4.19 (2.62) 7.36 
1I8KIBO ENERGY PLC 0.00 3 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
O08HPQ SILICON INC 0.00 6 per month 4.73  0.0002  10.00 (8.33) 41.56 
MTOMETTLER TOLEDO INTL 7.00 8 per month 0.00 (0.09) 2.01 (2.26) 7.25 
MTOMETTLER TOLEDO INTL 5.50 8 per month 0.00 (0.08) 2.45 (2.95) 7.35 
MTOMettler Toledo International 15.50 7 per month 0.00 (0.07) 2.12 (3.09) 7.34 
DC3ADIAMCOR MINING INC 0.00 4 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
1B9Boohoo Group PLC(0.03)5 per month 5.40  0.09  16.67 (11.54) 189.39 
3EJLODESTAR MIN 0.00 1 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Oppmann Immobilien

For every potential investor in Oppmann, whether a beginner or expert, Oppmann Immobilien's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Oppmann Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Oppmann. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Oppmann Immobilien's price trends.

Oppmann Immobilien Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Oppmann Immobilien stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Oppmann Immobilien could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Oppmann Immobilien by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Oppmann Immobilien Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Oppmann Immobilien stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Oppmann Immobilien shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Oppmann Immobilien stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Oppmann Immobilien AG entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Oppmann Immobilien Risk Indicators

The analysis of Oppmann Immobilien's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Oppmann Immobilien's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting oppmann stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Oppmann Immobilien

The number of cover stories for Oppmann Immobilien depends on current market conditions and Oppmann Immobilien's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Oppmann Immobilien is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Oppmann Immobilien's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Additional Tools for Oppmann Stock Analysis

When running Oppmann Immobilien's price analysis, check to measure Oppmann Immobilien's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Oppmann Immobilien is operating at the current time. Most of Oppmann Immobilien's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Oppmann Immobilien's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Oppmann Immobilien's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Oppmann Immobilien to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.