Sophia Genetics Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| SOPH Stock | USD 4.73 0.13 2.83% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sophia Genetics SA on the next trading day is expected to be 4.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.40. Sophia Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Sophia Genetics' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The Sophia Genetics' current Fixed Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 3.64, while Inventory Turnover is projected to decrease to 2.36. . The Sophia Genetics' current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to increase to about 66.8 M, while Net Loss is projected to decrease to (82.6 M). Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Sophia Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Sophia Genetics' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Sophia Genetics' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Sophia Genetics stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Sophia Genetics' open interest, investors have to compare it to Sophia Genetics' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Sophia Genetics is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Sophia. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Sophia Genetics Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Sophia Genetics' financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 2020-03-31 | Previous Quarter 94.8 M | Current Value 81.6 M | Quarterly Volatility 56.7 M |
Sophia Genetics Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sophia Genetics SA on the next trading day is expected to be 4.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.40.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sophia Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sophia Genetics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Sophia Genetics Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Sophia Genetics | Sophia Genetics Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Sophia Genetics Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Sophia Genetics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sophia Genetics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.05 and 9.37, respectively. We have considered Sophia Genetics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sophia Genetics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sophia Genetics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.2474 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2001 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0445 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.4048 |
Predictive Modules for Sophia Genetics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sophia Genetics SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Sophia Genetics
For every potential investor in Sophia, whether a beginner or expert, Sophia Genetics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sophia Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sophia. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sophia Genetics' price trends.Sophia Genetics Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sophia Genetics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sophia Genetics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sophia Genetics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Sophia Genetics SA Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Sophia Genetics' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Sophia Genetics' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Sophia Genetics Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sophia Genetics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sophia Genetics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sophia Genetics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sophia Genetics SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1343.15 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.9286 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.03 | |||
| Day Median Price | 4.68 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 4.7 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.12 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.13 |
Sophia Genetics Risk Indicators
The analysis of Sophia Genetics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sophia Genetics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sophia stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.12 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.18 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.63 | |||
| Variance | 31.74 | |||
| Downside Variance | 19.45 | |||
| Semi Variance | 17.44 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.90) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
| DD | Dupont De Nemours | |
| CRDO | Credo Technology Group | |
| GOOG | Alphabet Inc Class C | |
| BAC | Bank of America | |
| CRM | Salesforce |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sophia Genetics to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sophia Genetics. If investors know Sophia will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sophia Genetics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.12) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.228 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Sophia Genetics SA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sophia that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sophia Genetics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sophia Genetics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sophia Genetics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sophia Genetics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sophia Genetics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sophia Genetics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sophia Genetics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.