Solar Park Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| SOPV Stock | USD 0.0001 0.00 0.00% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Solar Park Initiatives on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Solar Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of relative strength index of Solar Park's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Solar Park hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Solar Park Initiatives from the perspective of Solar Park response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Solar Park Initiatives on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Solar Park after-hype prediction price | USD 6.0E-5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Solar Park to cross-verify your projections. Solar Park Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Solar price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Solar using various technical indicators. When you analyze Solar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Solar Park Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Solar Park Initiatives on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Solar Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Solar Park's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Solar Park Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Solar Park | Solar Park Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Solar Park Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Solar Park's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Solar Park's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000001 and 5.12, respectively. We have considered Solar Park's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Solar Park stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Solar Park stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | -9.223372036854776E14 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Solar Park
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Solar Park Initiatives. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Solar Park After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Solar Park at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Solar Park or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Solar Park, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Solar Park Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Solar Park's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Solar Park's historical news coverage. Solar Park's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 5.12, respectively. We have considered Solar Park's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Solar Park is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Solar Park Initiatives is based on 3 months time horizon.
Solar Park Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Solar Park is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Solar Park backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Solar Park, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.66 | 5.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.0001 | 0.00006 | 0.00 |
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Solar Park Hype Timeline
Solar Park Initiatives is at this time traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Solar is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.66%. %. The volatility of related hype on Solar Park is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Solar Park Initiatives had 13:1 split on the 30th of August 2010. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Solar Park to cross-verify your projections.Solar Park Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Solar Park's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Solar Park's future price movements. Getting to know how Solar Park's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Solar Park may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GEFI | Geo Finance Corp | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PTTN | Patten Energy Solutions | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FEWP | Far East Wind | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CHNGQ | China Natural Cmn | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| RENU | RenuEn Corp | 0.00 | 5 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NCEN | Nacel Energy Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BLSP | Blue Sphere Corp | 0.00 | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CMNR | Commerce Energy Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Solar Park
For every potential investor in Solar, whether a beginner or expert, Solar Park's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Solar Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Solar. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Solar Park's price trends.Solar Park Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Solar Park stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Solar Park could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Solar Park by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Solar Park Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Solar Park stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Solar Park shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Solar Park stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Solar Park Initiatives entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.0E-4 |
Story Coverage note for Solar Park
The number of cover stories for Solar Park depends on current market conditions and Solar Park's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Solar Park is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Solar Park's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Solar Stock Analysis
When running Solar Park's price analysis, check to measure Solar Park's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Solar Park is operating at the current time. Most of Solar Park's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Solar Park's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Solar Park's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Solar Park to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.