Soken Chemical Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

SOQ Stock  EUR 12.66  0.00  0.00%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Soken Chemical Engineering on the next trading day is expected to be 12.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Soken Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Soken Chemical - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Soken Chemical prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Soken Chemical price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Soken Chemical Engin.

Soken Chemical Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Soken Chemical Engineering on the next trading day is expected to be 12.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Soken Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Soken Chemical's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Soken Chemical Stock Forecast Pattern

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Soken Chemical Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Soken Chemical's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Soken Chemical's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.66 and 12.66, respectively. We have considered Soken Chemical's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
12.66
12.66
Expected Value
12.66
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Soken Chemical stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Soken Chemical stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Soken Chemical observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Soken Chemical Engineering observations.

Predictive Modules for Soken Chemical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Soken Chemical Engin. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.6612.6612.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.6612.6612.66
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Soken Chemical

For every potential investor in Soken, whether a beginner or expert, Soken Chemical's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Soken Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Soken. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Soken Chemical's price trends.

Soken Chemical Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Soken Chemical stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Soken Chemical could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Soken Chemical by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Soken Chemical Engin Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Soken Chemical's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Soken Chemical's current price.

Soken Chemical Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Soken Chemical stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Soken Chemical shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Soken Chemical stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Soken Chemical Engineering entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Soken Stock Analysis

When running Soken Chemical's price analysis, check to measure Soken Chemical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Soken Chemical is operating at the current time. Most of Soken Chemical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Soken Chemical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Soken Chemical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Soken Chemical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.