Silver Predator Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

SPD Stock  CAD 0.13  0.01  7.14%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Silver Predator Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.57. Silver Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength momentum indicator of Silver Predator's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Silver Predator's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Silver Predator and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Silver Predator's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Silver Predator Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Silver Predator's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.74)
Using Silver Predator hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Silver Predator Corp from the perspective of Silver Predator response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Silver Predator Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.57.

Silver Predator after-hype prediction price

    
  CAD 0.13  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Silver Predator to cross-verify your projections.

Silver Predator Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Silver price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Silver using various technical indicators. When you analyze Silver charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Silver Predator price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Silver Predator Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Silver Predator Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0001, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.57.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Silver Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Silver Predator's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Silver Predator Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Silver PredatorSilver Predator Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Silver Predator Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Silver Predator's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Silver Predator's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 7.36, respectively. We have considered Silver Predator's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.13
0.12
Expected Value
7.36
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Silver Predator stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Silver Predator stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.968
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0092
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0795
SAESum of the absolute errors0.5701
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Silver Predator Corp historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Silver Predator

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Silver Predator Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.137.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.107.89
Details

Silver Predator After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Silver Predator at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Silver Predator or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Silver Predator, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Silver Predator Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Silver Predator's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Silver Predator's historical news coverage. Silver Predator's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 7.92, respectively. We have considered Silver Predator's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.13
0.13
After-hype Price
7.92
Upside
Silver Predator is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Silver Predator Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Silver Predator Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Silver Predator is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Silver Predator backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Silver Predator, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.25 
7.24
 0.00  
  0.03 
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.13
0.13
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Silver Predator Hype Timeline

Silver Predator Corp is at this time traded for 0.13on TSX Venture Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.03. Silver is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.25%. %. The volatility of related hype on Silver Predator is about 6415.19%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.16. About 55.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.97. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Silver Predator Corp last dividend was issued on the 20th of November 2017. The entity had 1:5 split on the 20th of November 2017. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Silver Predator to cross-verify your projections.

Silver Predator Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Silver Predator's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Silver Predator's future price movements. Getting to know how Silver Predator's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Silver Predator may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Silver Predator

For every potential investor in Silver, whether a beginner or expert, Silver Predator's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Silver Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Silver. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Silver Predator's price trends.

Silver Predator Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Silver Predator stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Silver Predator could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Silver Predator by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Silver Predator Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Silver Predator stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Silver Predator shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Silver Predator stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Silver Predator Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Silver Predator Risk Indicators

The analysis of Silver Predator's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Silver Predator's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting silver stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Silver Predator

The number of cover stories for Silver Predator depends on current market conditions and Silver Predator's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Silver Predator is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Silver Predator's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Additional Tools for Silver Stock Analysis

When running Silver Predator's price analysis, check to measure Silver Predator's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Silver Predator is operating at the current time. Most of Silver Predator's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Silver Predator's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Silver Predator's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Silver Predator to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.