Standard Premium OTC Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| SPFX Stock | USD 1.95 0.02 1.04% |
Standard OTC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The value of RSI of Standard Premium's share price is at 52. This usually implies that the otc stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Standard Premium, making its price go up or down. Momentum 52
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Standard Premium based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Standard Premium hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Standard Premium Finance from the perspective of Standard Premium response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Standard Premium Finance on the next trading day is expected to be 1.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.62. Standard Premium after-hype prediction price | USD 1.95 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Standard |
Standard Premium Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Standard price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Standard using various technical indicators. When you analyze Standard charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Standard Premium Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Standard Premium Finance on the next trading day is expected to be 1.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.62.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Standard OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Standard Premium's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Standard Premium OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Standard Premium | Standard Premium Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Standard Premium Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Standard Premium's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Standard Premium's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 13.15, respectively. We have considered Standard Premium's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Standard Premium otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Standard Premium otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0119 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1436 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0762 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.6161 |
Predictive Modules for Standard Premium
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Standard Premium Finance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Standard Premium After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Standard Premium at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Standard Premium or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Standard Premium, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Standard Premium Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Standard Premium's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Standard Premium's historical news coverage. Standard Premium's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.10 and 13.09, respectively. We have considered Standard Premium's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Standard Premium is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Standard Premium Finance is based on 3 months time horizon.
Standard Premium OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Standard Premium is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Standard Premium backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Standard Premium, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.80 | 11.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.95 | 1.95 | 0.00 |
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Standard Premium Hype Timeline
Standard Premium Finance is at this time traded for 1.95. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Standard is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.8%. %. The volatility of related hype on Standard Premium is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.95. About 59.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Standard Premium to cross-verify your projections.Standard Premium Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Standard Premium's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Standard Premium's future price movements. Getting to know how Standard Premium's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Standard Premium may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IMPM | Impac Mortgage Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 20.00 | (20.00) | 58.33 | |
| ITEX | ITEX Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.86 | 0.02 | 3.00 | (2.48) | 27.76 | |
| CSTXF | CryptoStar Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 11.22 | 0.01 | 32.69 | (26.76) | 78.93 | |
| SSPLF | Safe Supply Streaming | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.15 | 31.58 | 0.00 | 153.62 | |
| OSHDF | Oshidori International Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ITPC | Intrepid Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.05 | |
| NXMH | Next Meats Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 29.94 | 0.23 | 171.82 | (65.40) | 363.78 | |
| ABBB | Auburn Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.55 | (0.55) | 38.95 | |
| SOLCF | SOL Global Investments | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 21.74 | (23.53) | 66.07 | |
| PHIL | PHI Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Standard Premium
For every potential investor in Standard, whether a beginner or expert, Standard Premium's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Standard OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Standard. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Standard Premium's price trends.Standard Premium Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Standard Premium otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Standard Premium could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Standard Premium by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Standard Premium Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Standard Premium otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Standard Premium shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Standard Premium otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Standard Premium Finance entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.95 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.95 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.01 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.02 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 52.65 |
Standard Premium Risk Indicators
The analysis of Standard Premium's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Standard Premium's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting standard otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.63 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 8.19 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 10.77 | |||
| Variance | 115.99 | |||
| Downside Variance | 284.28 | |||
| Semi Variance | 67.1 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (10.14) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Standard Premium
The number of cover stories for Standard Premium depends on current market conditions and Standard Premium's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Standard Premium is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Standard Premium's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Additional Tools for Standard OTC Stock Analysis
When running Standard Premium's price analysis, check to measure Standard Premium's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Standard Premium is operating at the current time. Most of Standard Premium's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Standard Premium's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Standard Premium's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Standard Premium to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.