Simon Property Preferred Stock Forward View

SPG-PJ Preferred Stock  USD 54.71  0.31  0.57%   
Simon Preferred Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now the value of rsi of Simon Property's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the preferred stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Simon Property's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Simon Property Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Simon Property hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Simon Property Group from the perspective of Simon Property response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Simon Property Group on the next trading day is expected to be 54.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.59.

Simon Property after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 54.71  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as preferred stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Simon Property to cross-verify your projections.

Simon Property Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Simon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Simon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Simon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Simon Property is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Simon Property Group value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Simon Property Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 14th of February 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Simon Property Group on the next trading day is expected to be 54.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.59.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Simon Preferred Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Simon Property's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Simon Property Preferred Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Simon Property  Simon Property Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Simon Property Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Simon Property's Preferred Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Simon Property's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 54.14 and 54.97, respectively. We have considered Simon Property's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
54.71
54.55
Expected Value
54.97
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Simon Property preferred stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Simon Property preferred stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.846
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1708
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0032
SAESum of the absolute errors10.5898
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Simon Property Group. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Simon Property. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Simon Property

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Simon Property Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
54.3054.7155.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
53.7554.1660.18
Details

Simon Property After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Simon Property at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Simon Property or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Preferred Stock prices, such as prices of Simon Property, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Simon Property Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Simon Property's preferred stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Simon Property's historical news coverage. Simon Property's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 54.30 and 55.12, respectively. We have considered Simon Property's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
54.71
54.71
After-hype Price
55.12
Upside
Simon Property is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Simon Property Group is based on 3 months time horizon.

Simon Property Preferred Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Simon Property is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Simon Property backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Preferred Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Simon Property, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.07 
0.41
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
54.71
54.71
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Simon Property Hype Timeline

Simon Property Group is at this time traded for 54.71. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Simon is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Simon Property is about 3727.27%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 54.71. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.78. Simon Property Group last dividend was issued on the 15th of December 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Simon Property to cross-verify your projections.

Simon Property Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Simon Property's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Simon Property's future price movements. Getting to know how Simon Property's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Simon Property may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AKRAcadia Realty Trust 0.32 6 per month 1.36 (0.04) 2.46 (2.19) 7.59 
DLR-PJDigital Realty Trust 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.33) 0.83 (1.03) 2.04 
DLR-PKDigital Realty Trust 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.17) 0.75 (0.93) 2.20 
FRMUFFirm Capital Property 0.00 0 per month 0.66  0.04  2.06 (1.40) 6.78 
FRT-PCFederal Realty Investment 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.22) 0.85 (0.90) 2.64 
KIM-PLKimco Realty 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.16) 0.64 (0.74) 3.15 
MAA-PIMid America Apartment Communities 0.00 0 per month 1.15 (0.03) 2.34 (2.47) 5.85 
PSA-PHPublic Storage 0.00 0 per month 0.44 (0.17) 0.66 (0.78) 1.99 
PSA-PKPublic Storage 0.00 0 per month 0.48 (0.17) 0.64 (0.77) 2.34 
UEUrban Edge Properties(0.21)11 per month 0.95  0.05  2.29 (1.88) 4.59 

Other Forecasting Options for Simon Property

For every potential investor in Simon, whether a beginner or expert, Simon Property's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Simon Preferred Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Simon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Simon Property's price trends.

Simon Property Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Simon Property preferred stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Simon Property could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Simon Property by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Simon Property Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Simon Property preferred stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Simon Property shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Simon Property preferred stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Simon Property Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Simon Property Risk Indicators

The analysis of Simon Property's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Simon Property's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting simon preferred stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Simon Property

The number of cover stories for Simon Property depends on current market conditions and Simon Property's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Simon Property is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Simon Property's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Simon Property Short Properties

Simon Property's future price predictability will typically decrease when Simon Property's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Simon Property Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Simon Property's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Simon Property's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding845.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments601.5 M

Other Information on Investing in Simon Preferred Stock

Simon Property financial ratios help investors to determine whether Simon Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Simon with respect to the benefits of owning Simon Property security.