Santhera Pharmaceuticals Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression

SPHDFDelisted Stock  USD 13.35  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Santhera Pharmaceuticals Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 13.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.87. Santhera Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Santhera Pharmaceuticals' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Santhera Pharmaceuticals' share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Santhera Pharmaceuticals' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Santhera Pharmaceuticals and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Santhera Pharmaceuticals' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Santhera Pharmaceuticals Holding, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Santhera Pharmaceuticals hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Santhera Pharmaceuticals Holding from the perspective of Santhera Pharmaceuticals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Santhera Pharmaceuticals Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 13.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.87.

Santhera Pharmaceuticals after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 13.35  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in small area income & poverty estimates.

Santhera Pharmaceuticals Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Santhera price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Santhera using various technical indicators. When you analyze Santhera charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Santhera Pharmaceuticals price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Santhera Pharmaceuticals Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Santhera Pharmaceuticals Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 13.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26, mean absolute percentage error of 0.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.87.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Santhera Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Santhera Pharmaceuticals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Santhera Pharmaceuticals Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Santhera PharmaceuticalsSanthera Pharmaceuticals Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Santhera Pharmaceuticals pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Santhera Pharmaceuticals pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.697
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2601
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.02
SAESum of the absolute errors15.8673
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Santhera Pharmaceuticals Holding historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Santhera Pharmaceuticals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Santhera Pharmaceuticals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Santhera Pharmaceuticals' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.2013.3514.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.9711.1214.69
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
13.3513.3513.35
Details

Santhera Pharmaceuticals After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Santhera Pharmaceuticals at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Santhera Pharmaceuticals or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Santhera Pharmaceuticals, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Santhera Pharmaceuticals Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Santhera Pharmaceuticals' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Santhera Pharmaceuticals' historical news coverage. Santhera Pharmaceuticals' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.20 and 14.50, respectively. We have considered Santhera Pharmaceuticals' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
13.35
13.35
After-hype Price
14.50
Upside
Santhera Pharmaceuticals is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Santhera Pharmaceuticals is based on 3 months time horizon.

Santhera Pharmaceuticals Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Santhera Pharmaceuticals is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Santhera Pharmaceuticals backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Santhera Pharmaceuticals, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.16 
1.16
 0.00  
 0.00  
5 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
13.35
13.35
0.00 
3,867  
Notes

Santhera Pharmaceuticals Hype Timeline

Santhera Pharmaceuticals is at this time traded for 13.35. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Santhera is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.16%. %. The volatility of related hype on Santhera Pharmaceuticals is about 14500.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.35. About 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.68. Santhera Pharmaceuticals had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in small area income & poverty estimates.

Santhera Pharmaceuticals Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Santhera Pharmaceuticals' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Santhera Pharmaceuticals' future price movements. Getting to know how Santhera Pharmaceuticals' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Santhera Pharmaceuticals may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
GNFTFGenfit SA 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.16  0.00  0.00  34.56 
JWCTFJW Therapeutics Co 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13) 0.00  0.00  20.00 
SLNCFSilence Therapeutics plc 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.03  12.50 (11.11) 71.00 
MLLCFMolecular Partners AG(0.11)2 per month 0.00 (0.03) 0.00  0.00  28.86 
BRIBFBrii Biosciences Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.16) 0.00  0.00  20.83 
BXPHFBotanix Pharmaceuticals Limited 0.00 0 per month 7.55 (0) 12.86 (14.73) 65.39 
IPHYFInnate Pharma 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.01  0.00  0.00  12.57 
NDTPNDT Pharmaceuticals 0.03 7 per month 12.50  0.07  40.91 (23.73) 123.04 
ORYZFOryzon Genomics SA 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.25) 0.00  0.00  6.93 
NGENFNervGen Pharma Corp 0.00 0 per month 3.15  0.16  11.62 (5.73) 31.61 

Santhera Pharmaceuticals Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Santhera Pharmaceuticals pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Santhera Pharmaceuticals could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Santhera Pharmaceuticals by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Santhera Pharmaceuticals Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Santhera Pharmaceuticals pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Santhera Pharmaceuticals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Santhera Pharmaceuticals pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Santhera Pharmaceuticals Holding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Santhera Pharmaceuticals Risk Indicators

The analysis of Santhera Pharmaceuticals' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Santhera Pharmaceuticals' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting santhera pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Santhera Pharmaceuticals

The number of cover stories for Santhera Pharmaceuticals depends on current market conditions and Santhera Pharmaceuticals' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Santhera Pharmaceuticals is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Santhera Pharmaceuticals' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in small area income & poverty estimates.
You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

Other Consideration for investing in Santhera Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Santhera Pharmaceuticals check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Santhera Pharmaceuticals' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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