Sparinvest Lange Fund Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

Sparinvest Lange simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Sparinvest Lange are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Sparinvest Lange prices get older.

Sparinvest Lange Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sparinvest Lange on the next trading day is expected to be 95.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.49.

Sparinvest Lange Fund Forecast Pattern

Sparinvest Lange Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sparinvest Lange fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sparinvest Lange fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Sparinvest Lange forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Sparinvest Lange observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Sparinvest Lange

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sparinvest Lange. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 95.22 95.48 95.74 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 94.96 95.22 95.48 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 94.92 95.24 95.56 Details

Other Forecasting Options for Sparinvest Lange

For every potential investor in Sparinvest, whether a beginner or expert, Sparinvest Lange's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sparinvest Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sparinvest. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sparinvest Lange's price trends.

Sparinvest Lange Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Sparinvest Lange Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Sparinvest Lange's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Sparinvest Lange's current price.

Sparinvest Lange Market Strength Events

Sparinvest Lange Risk Indicators

Pair Trading with Sparinvest Lange

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Sparinvest Lange position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Sparinvest Lange will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Other Information on Investing in Sparinvest Fund